April 23, 2008
NHL Playoffs Round 2 Predictions: The Habs could not have written a better script.
It was Minnesota Wild assistant general manager Tom Thompson who said, "The first round of the playoffs is the most intense two weeks of any hockey season.
"This is the time when seventh- and eighth-place teams can ambush first- and second-place teams because they have nothing to lose. No pressure, no worries and then bam, they can take out a team that might have finished with 30 more points because the better teams are looking too far down the road.
"This is the greatest time of year to be a hockey fan and the toughest to be a hockey coach."
Or, to be fair, Tom, the toughest time of the year to be a hockey prognosticator.
We were very fortunate (or unlucky if you consider that overtime penalty call in Game 7 between Washington and Philadelphia that resulted in the Flyers winning goal), to select five of eight series correctly in the first round.
We had Montreal, Pittsburgh, the Rangers, Detroit and San Jose to advance to the second round and we were correct. We also had Washington, Minnesota and Anaheim and we were dead wrong.
However, we did believe that if you selected lots of Detroit Red Wings and Montreal Canadiens in your playoff hockey pool, you'd make a lot of money. And that holds true through the second round.
Of course, the second round is a little bit odd. Montreal won four of four against Philly this year and have now faced two teams in the first two rounds of the playoffs that were 0-12 combined against the Habs. Guy Carbonneau could not have written a better playoff script for his club.
The same can said for Detroit who went 4-0 against Colorado this year.
Meanwhile, the Rangers were 5-3 against Pittsburgh and Dallas was 4-2-2 against San Jose and, yet, we like the teams that lost the season series.
It’s been a great two weeks already and the next two weeks could be even better. Let’s take a closer look…
THE EAST
No. 1 MONTREAL CANADIENS (Eliminated Boston in seven games vs. No. 6 PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (Eliminated Washington in seven games)
The Habs were a very interesting team this season. They led the NHL with a 24.1 percent success rate on the power play during the regular season and then went three-for-33 (9.1 per cent) against the Bruins in the first round of the playoffs. If the Habs get the power play going, look out.
Not only did the Habs take all four games from Philly this year, they've won six straight from the Flyers going back to 2006. This year, Montreal outscored Philadelphia 15-6.
Rookie goaltender Carey Price had two shutouts in the opening round against Boston including one in Game 7 and appears to have passed his first test as the heir to the rookie goaltending throne shared by Ken Dryden and Patrick Roy in Montreal.
The Flyers will look to the likes of Mike Richards, Jeff Carter, Joffrey Lupul and Daniel Briere to carry them against Montreal. Not only did Briere have six goals and 11 points in the opening round series against Washington, but he anchors the No. 2 power play in the league, right behind Montreal.
And then there is Vinny Prospal. After having a tremendous series against Washington, Prospal should enjoy playing against Montreal. He had four goals in four games against the Habs this season.
The Flyers will also hope that goalie Martin Biron is just as good in Round 2 as he was in Round 1 against the Caps.
History has very little to do with this series. The last time these two teams met in the playoffs, Habs head coach Guy Carbonneau and GM Bob Gainey were actually in uniform for the Canadiens.
Montreal in six games.
No. 2 PITTSBURGH PENGUINS (Eliminated Ottawa in four straight games) vs. No. 5 NEW YORK RANGERS (Eliminated New Jersey in five games)
The Rangers had plenty of success against these high-scoring Penguins this season and Scott Gomez led the way with three goals and four assists in eight games.
The reason for New York's success against Pittsburgh was not the play of Gomez, Chris Drury, Brendan Shanahan or Jaromir Jagr, but the presence of Madison Square Garden where the Blueshirts won all four games in 2007-08.
Perhaps the biggest difference in this series is the goaltending. It will be the talented but inconsistent Marc-Andre Fleury for Pittsburgh against Vezina Trophy candidate Henrik Lundqvist for the Rangers. And you have to give the edge to Lundqvist who held the Penguins to three goals or fewer on seven occasions in 2007-08 and is 12-6-3 in his career against Pittsburgh.
It will also be interesting to watch againg superstar Jaromir Jagr against Sid the Kid. Is this Jagr's last hurrah or the Kid's next step toward his first Cup?
This will also be a brother vs,. brother series. Pittsburgh centre Jordan Staal will be up against Rangers defenceman Marc Staal.
Pittsburgh in six games.
THE WEST
No. 1 DETROIT RED WINGS (Eliminated Nashville in six games) vs. No. 6 COLORADO AVALANCHE (Eliminated Minnesota in six games)
Pretty hard not to like Detroit in this series. The Wings are big, fast, skilled and strong with plenty of experience. And now that Chris Osgood is the starter, they have legitimate playoff goaltending, too.
Osgood went 2-0 with a 0.39 goals against average in two games in Round 1. He had a shutout and stopped 53 of 54 shots against Nashville.
However, the Avalanche is a team that really wasn't itself during the season. Joe Sakic played only 44 games. Peter Forsberg signed late in the season. Ryan Smyth played only 55 games and Milan Hejduk missed 16 games with various bumps and bruises. It was because of all these injuries (and absences) that Detroit shut out Colorado in the last three meetings of the season.
Right now, Detroit's shutout streak of Colorado stands at 214 minutes and four seconds. In fact, Detroit hasn't lost to Colorado in regulation time in three seasons.
This season, only rookie Cody McLeod of Binscarth, Man., and sophomore Marek Svatos scored for Colorado against Detroit this season as the Wings outscored the Avs 11-2.
I think the Red Wings will win this series and can win the Cup.
Detroit in six games.
No. 2 SAN JOSE SHARKS (49-22-10) vs. No. 5 DALLAS STARS (Eliminated Anaheim in six games)
Dallas had the best of San Jose during the regular season and the Stars looked particularly good in their opening round against defending champion Anaheim.
However, San Jose netminder Evgeni Nabokov, a Vezina Trophy candidate, has been playing pretty well in the post-season after going 2-3-2 against the Stars with a 2.56 goals against average during the season.
Dallas outscored the Stars 24-21 in eight regular season games so this series is closer than Dallas's 4-2-2 season record might indicate. However, Stars netminder Marty Turco has never played better. He allowed only 12 goals in six games against Anaheim and played in all eight regular season games against San Jose.
With Brad Richards playing well and with Stephane Robidas running the show, the Stars are playing as well as they have all year. However, something tells me Joe Thornton is going to step up in the second round.
San Jose in seven games.
Filed under 2008 NHL Playoffs, Blog by admin























