Daily Archives: April 6, 2008

It’s NHL playoff time: The only legitimate reason for living in a cold climate

Hockey fans, this is why we live. This is why we put up with snow in April. This is why we check our hockey pool numbers all winter long. This is why we have personal computers.

The 16-team Stanley Cup tournament begins Wednesday and it will no doubt provide us with the same number of upsets, surprises and thrills that it does every single spring.

[youtube=http://youtube.com/watch?v=F36L5idlmQo]

After a year in which Alexander Ovechkin broke Luc Robitaille’s record for goals by a leftwinger with 65 (here’s Ovechkin’s 60th at http://youtube.com/watch?v=F36L5idlmQo); Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews broke into the Chicago lineup and, almost by themselves, rebuilt the franchise; Evgeni Malkin did everything the Penguins could ask after a nagging injury to Sidney Crosby; and the Montreal Canadiens regained the form that made them the most feared franchise in hockey in the 1970s, we’re now heading into a post-season in which absolutely anything can happen.

You have President’s Trophy-winning Detroit taking on the no-name Nashville Predators and while it looks like it could be a Red Wing romp – on paper, at least – the Preds played the Wings tough all season and know the playoffs aren’t decided on paper.

You have the slumping, injury riddled Ottawa Senators going at it with the gifted Pittsburgh Penguins and, without question, the Sens late-season collapse no longer matters, but a knee injury to captain Daniel Alfredsson does.

And you have the talented Calgary Flames, the only Canadian-based team in the Western Conference playoffs, up against the very talented San Jose Sharks — a team many think will win the Cup — in a series that will feature two of the game’s most controversial coaches, Ron Wilson in San Jose and Mike Keenan in Calgary.

The first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs is always the most intensely contested seven-game stretch of the year. Great teams are sometimes looking ahead to the next round – or the final round – while teams that have struggled all season and snuck into the playoffs have absolutely nothing to lose and tend to attack, all-out for 60 minutes every night.

Granted, the playoffs are a marathon, not a sprint, but a great team, playing its hardest with a red hot goalie, can make a marathon a mere 16 games long.

So who’s hot and who’s not? Which team will surprise? Which team will collapse? Which team will ride a hot goalie farther than anyone expected? Which team has the horses to win it all?

It’s going to be a great two months. Click the links below and let’s take a closer look…

2008 NHL Eastern Conference Playoff Predictions

2008 NHL Western Conference Playoff Predictions

NHL Playoff Predictions – Eastern Conference

No. 1 MONTREAL CANADIENS  (47-25-10) vs. No. 8 BOSTON BRUINS (41-29-12)

Carey%20Price NHL Playoff Predictions   Eastern ConferenceThese two teams have despised each other for nine decades and by the end of the opening round of the playoffs, that hatred will not have subsided.

This will be the 31st time the Canadiens and Bruins have met in the playoffs during their often-bitter 84-year rivalry. The Canadiens have won 23 of the 30 meetings so far. This series is such a big deal, Habs coach Guy Carbonneau met the Bruins 10 during his playing career with the Habs, a team that went 8-0 against Boston this season.
 
“It’s going to be a very intense series as it always is,” said Carbonneau yesterday. “Even though we played so well against Boston all season, anything can happen in the playoffs. Short series can be scary things. I can tell you, we are all looking forward to it, that’s for sure.”

The Canadiens outscored Boston 39-16 this season and Boston picked up only one points in eight meetings with Montreal – a 3-2 Habs shootout win on March 22.

Here’s an interesting thing to consider. When Neepawa’s Shane Hnidy showed up in a trade on Jan. 2, the Bruins started to play better defensive hockey. Boston went 23-13-8 down the stretch after playing the first three months with a mediocre 18-16-4 record.
 
As the Bruins defence improved, it’s play against Montreal improved, too. Despite an 8-2 blow-out on Jan. 22, the Bruins played three solid games with Montreal after Hnidy’s arrival.

The Habs play a lot like Detroit – big, European-style hockey, with crisp passing and plenty of speed. The grinding Bruins have to try to slow down the Canadiens in the neutral zone and not let them make that one extra pass they love so much.

And Tim Thomas, who has no games of playoff experience, has to play better than rookie Carey Price, otherwise…

Montreal in five games.

evgeni malkin NHL Playoff Predictions   Eastern ConferenceNo. 2 PITTSBURGH  PENGUINS (47-27-8) vs. No. 7 OTTAWA SENATORS (43-31-8)

The Senators are struggling and have a number of serious injuries. The biggest one to captain Daniel Alfredsson, but injuries to forwards Mike Fisher and Chris Kelly are not to be discarded as meaningless.

None are expected to return at any time during the opening round and head coach and GM Bryan Murray said Sunday that he believes the injury situation will result in all the “so-called experts"  (that would include us, I guess) will all predict an easy Penguins victory.

“We don’t want to overplay the fact we have injuries,” said head coach and GM Bryan Murray on Saturday night. “We want to overplay the fact we have opportunities.”

Indeed, they do have opportunities, but against a very good Penguins team, a team that expects to have a healthy Sidney Crosby back for the first round, this is going to be a difficult assignment for the Sens.

It’s the second straight year in which the Penguins and Senators have met in the opening round and last year, Ottawa won the series in five games. (Thanks to our eagle-eyed readers for catching this mistake!)

This year it will be a different story, as the Pens boast a team loaded with offensive firepower – Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and of course a former Senator, Marian Hossa.

They also don’t have a goaltending problem (wonder how Ray Emery is feeling today) and while Marc-Andre Fleury might not be the best in the game, he always has Ty Conklin to bail him out.

Pittsburgh in six.  

No. 3 WASHINGTON CAPITALS (43-31-8) vs. No. 6 PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (42-29-11)

All you need to say is “Alexander Ovechkin” and you’ve just about said it all. The Capitals superstar – and he is, indeed, a superstar – led the league in goals (Maurice Richard Trophy) with 65, points (Art Ross Trophy) with 112 and will probably win the Hart Trophy, emblematic of the league’s most valuable player.

alexander ovechkin NHL Playoff Predictions   Eastern ConferenceBut the Caps also have Nicklas Backstrom, a sweet-playmaking centre who will be nominated for the Calder Trophy as the NHL’s rookie of the year, Mike Green, the most under-rated forward in the East, and three more tremendous  Russians, Viktor Kozlov (like Ovechkin, a plus-28), Sergei Fedorov and Alexander Semin.

The cold war didn’t result in Russian planes bombing Washington; it resulted in Russian hockey stars bringing Washington to its feet.

The Caps head into the playoffs as the hottest team in the East. Washington has won seven straight and blown past the Carolina Hurricanes to claim the Southeast Division title.

Of course, that’s the real story. When Bruce Boudreau replaced Brandon’s Glen Hanlon as coach of the Caps on Nov. 22, Washington was 14 points behind the Hurricanes in the race for the Southeast Division lead. Saturday, with a big win over Forida, they not only caught Carolina, but passed them and earned the No. 3 seed. Caps goaltender Cristobal Huet won his ninth straight start on Saturday and i?n 13 starts since joining Washington, Huet is 11-2 with two shutouts, a 1.63 goals against average and a .936 save pct.

The Flyers, meanwhile, slumped through most of February and March but got their act together down the stretch. Philly finished the regular season with seven wins in its last nine games (7-1-1) and won the season with Washington (2-1-1).

Philadelphia did have more points than Washington (95-94) but the Caps have too much firepower and home ice advantage.

Washington in seven.

No. 4 NEW JERSEY DEVILS (46-29-7) vs. No. 5 NEW YORK RANGERS (42-27-12)

Yesterday, the Devils wrapped up the No. 4 spot in the East and gained home ice advantage in this series with a 3-2 shootout win over the visiting Rangers.

Now, to say the Devils won an important game and clinched home-ice is a big deal. But they were hardly dominant and that suggests this will be a very close series.

In fact, Martin Brodeur, who played 77 games this season and will probably win the Vezina Trophy and be nominated for the Hart Trophy as MVP, will be the most important player in this series.

The Rangers could very well have the better team, more scorers and more impressive offence (213 goals to 205 this season), but even though Henrik Lundqvist was one of the two top goalies in the East, the Broadway Blueshirts will have to find a way to overcome Brodeur, the best netminder in the game. How good is Brodeur when he’s on his game? Watch 10 of his best ever saves below.

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-3ziU0xJ3A]

Of course, the Rangers did it all year. Although every game was close, New York went 7-0-1 against Jersey this season.

The series opens Wednesday night in Newark, N.J.

NY Rangers in seven.

NHL Playoff Predictions – Western Conference

No. 1 DETROIT RED WINGS (53-21-7) vs. No. 8 NASHVILLE PREDATORS (41-32-9)

Despite the fact Detroit finished 24 points ahead of Nashville in the Western Conference standings, the Preds matched up well against the Wings. In eight meetings this season, both teams were 3-3-2.

“It’s just another example of how close the league is today,” Preds head coach Barry Trotz told us last week. “We struggled against St. Louis and I really thought that Chicago was the most talented team in our conference. I think Chicago has the talent to be a great team in the future. But Detroit, as outstanding as they were, weren’t that intimidating for us. We matched up well against them.

“Of course, we weren’t intimidated by anybody, all year. We’re a lot better than people think.”

There is no doubt, the smaller, slightly slower Preds won’t be intimidated by Detroit, but if you watch the following Youtube video, you’ll see what happens to Nashville when they try to stick-check the Wings instead of take the body. http://youtube.com/watch?v=R0cGTQmN0wc

[youtube=http://youtube.com/watch?v=R0cGTQmN0wc]

Have to admit, I’d love to see Nashville take out Detroit, but I’m starting to think that the President’s Trophy-winning Red Wings, are the team to beat in the West this year.

Detroit in six games.

No. 2 SAN JOSE SHARKS (49-22-10) vs. No. 7 CALGARY FLAMES (42-30-10)jarome iginla NHL Playoff Predictions   Western Conference

It’s pretty difficult to figure out how the Flames are going to beat this Sharks team.

San Jose finished the season with 108 points while the Flames had only 94. San Jose had 49 wins while Calgary had 42. San Jose went 7-2-1 down the stretch (19-0-2 in an unbeaten March and early April) while Calgary went 5-5-0 down the stretch and was fortunate to make the playoffs.

However, Calgary played well against San Jose this season. While the Sharks won the first meeting of the season, 4-1, in Calgary on Oct. 22, the Flames won the next three – 3-2 in OT in San Jose on Jan. 3, 5-4 in Calgary on Jan. 30 and 4-3 in overtime in San Jose on Feb. 12.

Calgary has a 50-goal scorer in Jarome Iginla, the consummate team leader, and a pretty solid goaltender in Mikka Kiprusoff. The Flames are also coming off a solid 7-1 win in Vancouver on Saturday night.

But the Sharks are terrific.

“That’s the best team I played against this season,” said Vancouver Canucks centre Jason Jaffray. “Of all the teams I saw, that’s the one with the biggest toughest players and the best system. That’s the team I’ve picked to win the Cup.”

A team led by the great Joe Thornton and Norris Trophy candidate Brian Campbell, the Sharks have the best goaltender in the West (some might say the best in the league), Evgeni Nabokov.

The Sharks will be tough to beat.

San Jose in six.

No. 3 MINNESOTA WILD (44-29-9) vs. No. 6 COLORADO AVALANCHE (44-31-7)

The toughest team on the block – a team with four legitimate goons – will take on a team with a handful of the best young players and old players in hockey in what could be a very intriguing series.

The Minnesota Wild, the Northwest Division champions, are led by their superstar rightwinger Marian Gaborik (42 goals, 41 assists), but it’s the sight of 6-foot-3, 230-pound Chris Simon, 6-foot-2, 240-poundTodd Fedoruk, 6-foot-7, 260-pound Derek Boogard and 6-foot-3, 210-pound Aaron Voros. They say, fighting doesn’t have a place in the playoffs, but if the Wild decide it does, look out.

The Avs, on the other hand, have a very nice team, a team that’s had a number of its top players hurt this season.  Now, most are healthy, and the Avalanche will be a difficult opponent in the first round.

It’s a team with superstar older players such as Joe Sakic, Adam Foote, Ruslan Salei, Milan Hejduk, Ryan Smyth and Peter Forsberg and up-and-coming superstar younger players such as Marek Svatos, Paul Stastny and Wojtek Wolski. If the Avs, a team that beat Minnesota 4-3 in a shootout in the final game of the season, remain healthy throughout the playoffs, they’ll be extremely tough.

It’s also a good thing that Minnesota has home ice advantage. The Avalanche finished with 27 wins at home, it’s most since winning 28 in 2001, the year the Avs won their last Stanley Cup. However, the disciplined, hard-nosed, hard-checking Wild went 5-2-1 against the banged-up Avs this season. It’s hard not to like Minnesota.

Minnesota in seven.

No. 4 ANAHEIM DUCKS (46-27-8) vs. No. 5 DALLAS STARS (44-30-7)

Two of the NHL’s top teams of the decade, the Dallas Stars and the defending Stanley Cup champion Anaheim Ducks should give fans a great series.

During the season, the Stars won five of eight meetings against the Ducks and outscored Anaheim 24-15. Based on the regular season totals, this should be one of the upsets of the first round.

But not so fast. The Ducks won the final two meetings 2-1 and 3-2 and played a lot better against Dallas with Teemu Selanne and Scott Niedermayer in the lineup. The two veterans won’t playing together until February.

Still, this will be a great series and a tough one. The Ducks won the Stanley Cup last year by leading all teams in fights.

This year, the Ducks were second to Calgary (70-69), but Dallas was still 10th (48) and they won’t back down. Just take a look at Krys Barch vs. Brad May I-IV.

May vs. Barch I, Nov. 5, 2007
http://youtube.com/watch?v=mMTNBFncds8&feature=related

May vs. Barch II, Nov. 21, 2007
http://youtube.com/watch?v=6Ypr03UZ72w&feature=related

May vs. Barch III, Jan. 15, 2008
http://youtube.com/watch?v=IuoJSD6IhFg&feature=related

May vs. Barch IV, March 19, 2008
http://youtube.com/watch?v=GU09BDjk4oU&feature=related

This will be the most bitterly contested series in the West and if Barch and May have their way, it might be the only series in which fights play a significant role.

[youtube=http://youtube.com/watch?v=mMTNBFncds8]

Ultimately, this one will be about goaltending and I like Giguere (2.12 GAA, .922 save pct.) over Turco (2.32, .909) by the smallest of margins.

Anaheim in seven games.