Monthly Archives: September 2010

It’s a Passing Game and Dr. Football is Heating Up

Posted on September 30, 2010 by Scott Taylor| Leave a comment

It’s Week 4 in the NFL and there is one thing we’ve learned. It’s something that the experts who play fantasy football have known for a long, long time: There is no sense drafting runningbacks early. The NFL is all about passing.

And we have proof. So far in 2010, NFL quarterbacks have topped 400 yards passing five times, the most in history through the first three weeks of any NFL season.

Four starting quarterbacks – Philip Rivers of San Diego, Kyle Orton of Denver, Peyton Manning of Indianapolis and Tony Romo of Dallas – are each averaging more than 300 passing yards per game and are within striking distance of amassing more than 1,200 passing yards through their first four games this year.  This is only the fifth time in NFL history that four quarterbacks have passed for at least 900 yards through the first three games of a season. The record was set in  2002 when five quarterbacks did it.

Meanwhile, never in the same year have four quarterbacks each averaged at least 300 yards per game through their first four starts to begin a season. That tells you something, clearly. It’s a passing game now and great passing quarterbacks will win more often than they lose.

Dr. Football knows all of this and that’s why he’s been betting his money on the best passers.

Let’s take a close look at the mad bombers in Week 4:

San Francisco 49ers (0-3) at Atlanta Falcons (2-1)  Line: Falcons by 7.

Dr. Football loves San Francisco this week for a multitude of reasons: First, Jimmy Raye has been fired, and justifiably so. Per reports, the Chiefs constantly called out the plays the 49ers were going to run. With Raye gone, San Francisco will be more unpredictable – simply by default. This is a must-win for the 49ers. Coaches were fired and players have been benched. This team is desperate for a victory. Secondly, the Falcons’ energy and desperation level will be low here. They just won the most important game on their regular-season slate. They circled that Saints contest when the schedule was released. In the wake of their emotional overtime win, I don’t see how they can get up for this game. And lastly The Falcons humiliated the 49ers last year. San Francisco has extra motivation here, as if it didn’t have enough already.

Dr. Football: 49ers TO WIN

The Coach: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

New York Jets (2-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-3) Line: Jets by 5.5

The Jets are obviously the much better team, but they’re in a potential flat spot, having beaten the Patriots and Dolphins in back-to-back weeks. They also battle their former quarterback Brett Favre next Monday night. Besides, Buffalo is a tough place to play; Miami barely covered as 3-point favourites in Week 1, and that was when Edwards was the starter.

Dr. Football: JETS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: BILLS TO WIN.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-3) Line: Bengals by 3.

Doc likes the Bengals in this spot. They have nothing to look ahead to, and Marvin Lewis always has his team prepared for the second game of a back-to-back road swing, so they’ll be focused against the Browns. Carson Palmer has sucked, but Cincinnati’s defence is simply playing out of its mind right now. The Doc thinks the stop unit will once again carry the Bengals to victory. Coach does not agree.

Dr. Football: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: BROWNS TO WIN

Detroit Lions (0-3) at Green Bay Packers (2-1) Line: Packers by 14.5.

How about you don’t commit 18 penalties this time, Packers? Green Bay was extremely sloppy on Monday night, as the offensive line felt like it needed to hold on every other play. Having said that though, Aaron Rodgers will effortlessly torch a Detroit secondary ranked 30th versus the pass. The only edge that Detroit has is that The Packers just lost a tough game on Monday night. It’ll be tough for them to get up against the lowly Lions.

Dr. Football: PACKERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: PACKERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

Denver Broncos (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (2-1) Line: Titans by 6.5

This is a very poor spot for the Broncos. They put a lot of stock into last week’s Colts game. They did a great job hanging around, but fell short at the end. It’ll be really difficult for Denver to get up for this solid, yet underrated Tennessee squad. The Broncos surrendered only 41 yards on 20 carries to the Colts last week. But it’s not like Denver’s run defence is that good. Stopping Chris Johnson is obviously a much more difficult task, especially with Vince Young acting as a dual rushing threat. No matter how well teams bottle Johnson up, he always breaks at least one long run.

Dr. Football: TITANS TO WIIN AND COVER.

The Coach: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER

Seattle Seahawks (2-1) at St. Louis Rams (1-2) Line: Seahawks by 1

Sam Bradford is playing extremely well for a rookie and we like him here against the Seahawks. Seattle’s secondary is an abomination, having surrendered 762 passing yards the past two weeks. The Seahawks habitually suck on the road. They’re 11-24 against the spread as visitors since 2006. They’ve had success at St. Louis, but that’s only because the Rams were awful prior to this season.

Dr. Football: RAMS TO WIN.

The Coach: RAMS TO WIN

Carolina Panthers (0-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-1)  Line: Saints by 13.5.

The Saints just aren’t looking very sharp. They’re not running the ball well, and they’re having problems finishing drives. A post-Super Bowl hangover? Possibly. It could also be the fact that the New Orleans hasn’t battled a soft defence yet, as the Falcons, 49ers and Vikings all have good stop units. As bad as Carolina looks right now, the Saints don’t deserve to be favoured by about two touchdowns because they just aren’t playing good football. Once again, the Coach reverts to his old, time-honored theory and will not bet on a team to cover that is favored by double-digits.

Dr. Football: SAINTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: SAINTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

Baltimore Ravens (2-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) Line: Steelers by 1.

I think this is a really tough game to call. The Steelers are playing better football right now, and they have proven that they can win without Ben Roethlisberger. Plus, we feel like this is more of a statement game for them; everyone counted them out when Big Ben’s suspension was announced. They can shut everyone up by going 4-0 in his absence. It’s amazing what the Steelers are doing. They’re second against the run (2.6 YPC), third versus the pass (5.9 YPA) and tied for third in pass rush (10 sacks). Remember in Week 1 when they completely shut down Matt Ryan? Well, Ryan has been great ever since, so that shows how dominant Pittsburgh’s defence is.

Dr. Football: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER

Indianapolis Colts (2-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) Line: Colts by 8.

Forget what you saw last week from Jacksonville. Just wipe it from your memory. The Jaguars didn’t care about playing the Eagles. Instead, they were more focused on this game. This is Jacksonville’s Super Bowl. The team circled this game when the schedule was released. The Jaguars would love nothing more than to slay their arch rival. They’ve been preparing for this contest since they last lost to the Colts on Dec. 17. One issue, they absolutely stink. They’re 22nd against the run – so Joseph Addai should rebound – but they’re epically horrific against the pass, ranking dead last against it. Jacksonville’s secondary has surrendered a disgraceful 9.9 YPA, so Peyton Manning could throw for 50,000 yards in this game alone.

Dr. Football: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER

Houston Texans (2-1) at Oakland Raiders (1-2) Line: Texans by 3.5.

If you’re one of the many bettors taking Houston, consider that in their franchise history, the Texans are just 1-4 against the spread as road favourites. And also remember that Andre Johnson won’t be 100 percent (if he even plays) and Matt Schaub won’t have good pass protection.

Dr. Football: TEXANS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER

Arizona Cardinals (2-1) at San Diego Chargers (1-2) Line: Chargers by 8.

Say what you want about Norv Turner, but he tends to rebound well after losing as a favourite (7-3 against the spread). The Cardinals stink, and a focused Chargers squad should be able to win this game rather easily. The Cardinals will have to run the ball efficiently to score some points. Unfortunately for them, the Chargers rank ninth versus the run, giving up just 3.7 yards per carry. This will be the Chargers  breakout game.

Dr. Football: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER

Washington Redskins (1-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) Line: Eagles by 6.

Think Donovan McNabb’s had this game circled when the schedule was released? Everyone is making a big deal about Washington’s loss to St. Louis last week. If you were seven days away from a battling a team that thoughtlessly discarded you, you wouldn’t exactly be focused against some crap squad that hasn’t won in a while either. McNabb is familiar with all of Philadelphia’s defenders. He knows Sean McDermott’s schemes. He’s practiced against this defence for a decade. And guess what? The Eagles defence isn’t very good. The Doc thinks McNabb will have a big game in an effort to prove everyone wrong. Coach thinks the ‘Skins have a gawd-awful offensive line that will be eaten alive by the Eagles D.

Dr. Football: REDSKINS TO WIN.

The Coach: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER

SUNDAY NIGHT

Chicago Bears (3-0) at New York Giants (1-2) Line: Giants by 4

The Giants moved the ball up and down the field on the Titans last week, but critical mistakes (two red zone turnovers, lots of penalties) really cost them. Unfortunately for New York, remaining error-free won’t translate to a similar performance in between the 20s on Sunday night. The Bears boast a fierce defence ranked first against the run and 12th versus the pass. If they can beat the Packers, they’ll beat the Giants.

Dr. Football: BEARS TO WIN.

The Coach: GIANTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

MONDAY NIGHT

New England Patriots (2-1) at Miami Dolphins (2-1) Line: Patriots by 1

Plain and simple, the Patriots shouldn’t have problems scoring. The Dolphins are eighth versus the pass, but that figure is skewed because of Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 1 and a Percy Harvin-less Brett Favre in Week 2. Mark Sanchez sliced and diced Miami’s secondary on Sunday night. Tom Brady shouldn’t have any issues moving the chains all evening.

Dr. Football: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

If you’re in a survivor pool, your best bets this week are the Saints, Packers or Chargers.

The Doc was 10-6 last week and 7-9 vs. the spread. For the season he is 25-23 straight up, and 23-25 against the spread. The Coach was 8-8 straight up and 5-11 against the spread. On the season, The Coach is 25-23 straight up and 17-28-3 against the spread.

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Not a Great Week, But We are Not Quitters

Posted on September 23, 2010 by Scott Taylor| Leave a comment

Have to admit, a lot of things happened this week around the NFL that I did not expect.

I didn’t expect the Vikings to score only 10 points, I certainly didn’t expect the Buccaneers to whip the Panthers (and see Matt Moores lose his job), I didn’t expect the Lions to score 32 points against Philly with Sean Hill at quarterback, I didn’t expect Chicago to drill Dallas at the Jerry Jones Taj Mahal, I didn’t expect Kansas City to be 2-0 while the Vikings and Niners are 0-2, I didn’t expect Cincinnati to win 15-10 over Baltimore without scoring a touchdown and I didn’t expect Denver to absolutely hammer Seattle.

I had such a bad week against the line last Sunday and Monday that I’m embarrassed to admit it — 4-11-1. OK, I admitted it. Hope you’re happy, because I’m not and I’m a lot poorer, too.

But hey, it’s only football and it’s not much fun without a handful of Sport Select tickets to use as coasters for the Coke Zero.

So here we go, jumping with both feet. It’s Week 4 in the NFL and Dr. Football and I are going bungee jumping without a cord…

San Francisco 49ers  at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5)

The Chiefs should not be 2-0. Matt Cassel, who has completed just 52 percent of his passes in two weeks is atrocious and isn’t nearly good enough to keep defences honest. The 49ers will concentrate on stopping Kansas City’s ground attack, forcing Cassel to beat them. Despite being 0-2, the 49ers are the better team.

Dr. Football: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: CHIEFS TO WIN.

Detroit Lions  at Minnesota Vikings (-10.5)

Excluding Adrian Peterson, things are just not looking good for Minnesota’s offense. Brett Favre is finally playing his age, but there is a reason for that: Chester Taylor is in Chicago; Sidney Rice is out; Percy Harvin has been playing with injuries and migraines; and the offensive line stinks. Fortunately, the Lions are coming to town. Peterson will have a huge game, which will set up play-action and short-yardage opportunities for ‘Ol Brett. As if he’ll need them. Detroit’s secondary is an abomination — currently ranked 31st in that department — allowing 9.5 yards per pass attempt. It seems as though Harvin will be able to play, which is great news for the 0-2 Vikings. Minnesota is simply desperate for a win. If they lose this game, they’re guaranteed to be three back of either Green Bay or Chicago.

Dr. Football: VIKINGS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: VIKINGS TO WIN AND COVER.

Buffalo Bills  at New England Patriots (-14)

As we all saw on Sunday, New England’s defence isn’t very good. They were being pushed around by the Jets’ offensive line, as LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene ripped off solid gains at will. The difference here though is that Buffalo’s front won’t be able to duplicate what New York’s did. Thus, Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will be stuck in third-and-long situations all afternoon, which is never a good thing. He’s horrible. Lucky for New England as the Bills may not score a point. There are three things that Tom Brady hates: barbers, women who aren’t supermodels and the feeling of losing a football game. Bills will go the 0-3, Pats will be 2-1 when this one’s over and The Coach will take a double-digit favorite against the spread.

Dr. Football: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-4)

I expect the Falcons (1-1) to put up a ton of points. Matt Ryan ordinarily is pretty average on the road, but has understandably been pretty comfortable in New Orleans’ dome. In two games at the Superdome, Ryan is 43-of-75 for 604 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions (one pick was tipped). Those stats pretty much rival what he’s done at home in his young career. The Saints (2-0) haven’t been very good against the pass this year – they rank 26th in that department despite playing a 40-year-old Brett Favre and the 49ers Alex Smith – so keeping Atlanta out of the end zone will prove to be difficult, especially with Michael Turner as a threat out of the backfield.

Dr. Football: FALCONS TO WIN.

The Coach: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER.

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants (-3)

The Giants (1-1) could be really flat after losing to the Colts. That game was really hyped up, so we doubt their energy level will be anywhere close to 100 percent against a seemingly inferior Tennessee (1-1) squad. The Titans had a sloppy loss and should be more focused this Sunday.

Dr. Football: TITANS TO WIN.

The Coach: GIANTS TO WIN AND COVER.

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-10.5)

This is weird – this is the third consecutive year that the Browns (0-2) are traveling to Baltimore for a Week 3 matchup. The Ravens slaughtered Cleveland in the previous two instances, 28-10 and 34-3. But that’s not why we like the 1-1 Ravens. Quite simply, they’re a tough, disciplined football team that takes care of business. Under John Harbaugh, they’re 9-1 against the spread against teams with losing records and that ain’t gonna change Sunday.

Dr. Football: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (-3)

This is desperation mode for the Cowboys. Not only that; they’d like to get revenge on the Texans for embarrassing them on national TV in the preseason. This is a must-win game for them. If they’re 0-3 going into their bye, they risk falling two games behind everyone in the NFC East (the Eagles, Redskins and Giants are all favoured this week). The Cowboys won’t be able to run the ball against the Texans (or anyone) but they’ll definitely have success moving the chains aerially. Houston’s secondary hasn’t been able to stop anyone, ranking 30th versus the pass (9.0 YPA). Their cornerbacks are really struggling, and Dr. Football expects Tony Romo to have a big day. The Coach believes Romo will get pressured, panic and go fetal.

Dr. Football: COWBOYS TO WIN.

The Coach: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5)

The Steelers already salvaged two wins without Big Ben, which had to be their goal. Thus, Dr. Football doesn’t think they’ll have much urgency in Tampa. They certainly won’t have the same fire they played with against the Falcons or Titans, given that they’re favoured for the first time. This is more of a statement game for the Buccaneers. This is their chance to prove that they’re for real. They’re 2-0, but haven’t beaten a team that has a win yet. Defeating the undefeated Steelers would show everyone that they are a team that needs to be taken seriously.

Dr. Football: BUCCANEERS TO WIN.

The Coach: BUCCANEERS TO WIN.

Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers (+3.5)

While the 1-1 Bengals’ defence played out of its mind against the Ravens, the offense left much to be desired. Carson Palmer, in particular, was woeful. He was 16-of-35 for 167 yards last week, and that doesn’t tell the whole story. He missed a wide-open Chad Ochocinco in the end zone and had two routine interceptions dropped by Baltimore defenders. Sure, Carolina’s defence offers less of a challenge, but Palmer stinks right now and cannot move the chains consistently. The 0-2 Panthers just can’t win. QB Jimmy Clausen faces a ridiculously tough first opponent in the Bengals. Cincinnati put the heat on Joe Flacco last week and forced him into four interceptions. The Panthers are tied for second with seven sacks allowed this season, so that doesn’t bode well for Clausen.

Dr. Football: BENGALS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER.

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3)

The Eagles (1-1) are the superior team, and we don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t be completely focused for this game. They generally play well in the latter half of back-to-back road swings, and they shouldn’t have much of a problem dispatching this miserable Jaguars (1-1) squad. Mike Vick is a stud.

Dr. Football: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER.

Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams (+4)

Remember when the Redskins (1-1) couldn’t score an offensive touchdown in the opener against the Cowboys? That seems like so long ago. Donovan McNabb finally got into a groove on Sunday, torching the Texans for 426 yards. The Rams (0-2) quite simply don’t stand a chance. Sam Bradford has done a great job holding his own in his rookie season, especially when considering that aside from Steven Jackson, he doesn’t have a viable weapon to work with. Jackson will find it difficult to run on Washington. The Redskins limited Arian Foster and Houston’s offense to just 83 rushing yards on 22 carries last week.

Dr. Football: REDSKINS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: REDSKINS TO WIN AND COVER.

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (+5.5)

Dr. Football just loves how everyone thought the Colts (1-1) were done after they lost in Week 1. “Yeah, well I think they’re going to be OK,” says the good Doctor. There are only a handful of defences in the league that can slow Peyton Manning down, even just a bit. The Broncos (1-1) don’t have one of them. They have just two sacks on the year and are consequently 22nd versus the pass (7.2 YPA). Their run defence is even worse, allowing 4.8 yards per carry. Unless the Colts make sloppy mistakes – which seldom happens – they’ll be able to move up and down the field with ease at Denver.

Dr. Football: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER.

Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals (-4)

Bruce Gradkowski will get the start for the 1-1 Raiders; he’s not a physically gifted quarterback, but he makes smart and accurate throws, and can scramble out of the pocket. He’s like a manly version of Jeff Garcia. Not that there’s anything wrong with not being manly. The Cardinals (1-1) are not that good, but they are a veteran team. After losing 41-7, ol Doc Football  imagines that they’ll be playing for pride in their home opener.

Dr. Football: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER.

San Diego Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (+5.5)

Seattle’s (1-1) Matt Hasselbeck tossed three interceptions last week, giving him 14 picks in his last six games dating back to 2009. The Chargers (1-1) intercepted Jacksonville’s David Garrard four times on Sunday, so this seems like a recipe for disaster.

Dr. Football: CHARGERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

SUNDAY NIGHT

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-1.5)

The Dolphins are 2-0, and while Chad Henne hasn’t made any mistakes, you can’t really say that his team is undefeated because of him. Henne hasn’t been asked to do much the past two weeks. That’ll need to change if Miami wants to beat the Jets (1-1) . Dr. Football still thinks Mark Sanchez is a bum.

Dr. Football: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

MONDAY NIGHT

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+3)

The emotional aspect of this game says Chicago (2-0)  will win. Soldier Field will be going nuts on Monday night. Like the Chiefs in Week 1, the Bears will feed off the crowd. And don’t forget what happened when the Vikings visited the Bears on a Monday night late last year. Having said that, I’m taking the Packers (2-0). If they want to make it to the Super Bowl this year they will find some way to overcome a raucous Soldier Field crowd.

Dr. Football: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

If you’re in a survivor pool and you took our advice last week, you didn’t waste Green Bay and got a big win from Atlanta. This week, if you want to hold on New England (and their home gift against Buffalo) and hold on Baltimore (and that bigger gift from Cleveland), take a shot at Houston to beat Dallas or Minnesota to beat Detroit. I’m taking Houston this week.

The Doc is 15-17 this year, and 16-16 vs. the spread. The Coach is 17-15 straight up and a smelly 11-17-3 against the spread.

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Week 2 in the NFL: Can Some of the Big Losers Bounce Back?

Posted on September 16, 2010 by Scott Taylor| Leave a comment

MINNEAPOLIS, Minn. — There is very little question that we “live and learn.” It’s a cliche for a reason.

Last week in the National Football League we learned that Baltimore’s defence was much better than the Jets offence; the Kansas City Chiefs are a better team than we thought (speed does kill); if Brett Favre doesn’t make better use of Adrian Peterson, the  Vikings will be hard-pressed to finish 8-8; the Pats are back; and the Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, St. Louis Rams and Cleveland Browns are still lousy football teams.

This week, we’ll try to take our knowledge and have it translate into a few Sport Select winners.

The Coach is Minneapolis this weekend for the Vikings-Dolphins game. If youy take a close look at Minnesota’s schedule, this is already a must-win for the Vikes.

Dr. Football is on board. Let’s take a close look at Week 2 in the NFL…

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings (-6)

Last week the Vikings didn’t mount much of an offense. Brett Favre was just 15-of-27 for 171 yards, one touchdown and an interception. The interior of his offensive line struggled to protect him, while he and his receivers were completely out of sync. Percy Harvin repeatedly ran wrong routes, while Bernard Berrian seemed to screw up at least once on every drive. The Vikings did not run enough with Adrian Peterson. Peterson totaled 87 yards on 19 carries, but figures to face a much stiffer challenge against Miami’s defense. Miami has a stout running game with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. Unlike the Saints game, however, Minnesota’s front won’t have to worry about a quarterback the caliber of Drew Brees. Chad Henne struggled in the opener, going 21-of-34 for 182 yards. The Vikings will focus on stopping Brown and Williams, forcing Henne to beat them.

Dr. Football: VIKINGS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: VIKINGS TO WIN AND COVER.

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-6.5)

The Falcons lost to Dennis Dixon, which brought this spread down by about two points, creating value with the host. Again, Matt Ryan is really good at home, owning a 10-2 spread record at the Georgia Dome in his young career. We like Atlanta to bounce back against an Arizona team that isn’t very good.

DR. Football: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5)

Hard not to like the Ravens in this spot. Not only are they the better team; they also have the motivational factor in that the Bengals swept them last year. Like the Patriots last week, Baltimore should beat Cincinnati rather easily.

Dr. Football: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns (-2)

Dr. Football was not too impressed with the Chiefs on Monday night as they managed only nine first downs and were out-gained by about 200 yards. Their three scores came on a long run, punt return and fumble recovery. Even with the uncertainty of Jake Delhomme being able to start, we have to take the home squad.

Dr. Football: BROWNS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: BROWNS TO WIN AND COVER.

Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys (-8)

This is the “I Can’t Protect My Quarterback Bowl” because the Cowboys have the potential to set the team record for sacks in this game. We wish we were exaggerating, but DeMarcus Ware, Anthony Spencer and Jay Ratliff versus Jay Cutler and a Mike Martz protection scheme could produce 13 sacks – which is one more than the NFL record. I can’t see the Cowboys covering this huge spread just because they may struggle to even score nine points. Of course, a few Cutler turnovers could make that easy.

Dr. Football: COWBOYS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER.

Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions (+4.5)

While many are singing QB Dog Fighter’s praises, Dr. Football remaisn skeptical. There’s a reason Michael Vick has a career completion percentage of just 53. He has an enormous arm, but his accuracy is atrocious. Overly eager to showcase his passing skills, Vick could toss a few careless interceptions in this contest, just like he did against the Bengals in the preseason. Poor Lions. They are cursed. Instead of their strong-armed young quarterback potentially leading the team to a winning record for the first time since 2000, it’ll be Shaun Hill under center. What did Detroit do to anger the football gods all these years?

Dr. Football: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER.

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (-13)

Can anyone explain what the Bills are doing? They spent the No. 9 overall pick in the 2010 NFL Draft on a running back, a position they didn’t need to address, and yet they refused to run the ball in the season opener. This is like going out and spending $1000 on a new suit for work despite the fact that you work at DOMO. Running the ball – assuming the Bills decide to do it – won’t work Sunday because the Packers defense is pretty stout in that department. Can’t see this one going any other way. In fact, the Coach never lays money on double-digit spreads, but this week it’s different.

Dr. Football: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans (-5)

We like the Titans to cover for two reasons. First, this is a big revenge game for them. A loss to Pittsburgh in week 1 last year sent them reeling into a 0-6 start. Secondly, Dr. Football can’t imagine Pittsburgh coming close to matching the same intensity it had against Atlanta. The Doc loved the Steelers in that game because he knew they’d play at 110 percent with Ben Roethlisberger out. Really good teams simply step up in the first game without their best player. This does not, however, apply to the second game. In nearly every instance the good doctor has tracked over the years, a team missing its star quarterback for a second contest struggled after winning that first game. Can’t see the Steelers “bringing it” two weeks in a row.

Dr. Football: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (NO LINE)

The Panthers have won the last three meetings between these two teams…Sunday will make it 4.

Dr. Football: PANTHERS TO WIN.

The Coach: PANTHERS TO WIN

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-3.5)

Last week Matt Hasselbeck looked healthy — and great! Mike Williams wreaked havoc on the opposing secondary. Deion Branch caught a touchdown. The Seahawks were partying like it was 2005 last Sunday. Was this for real, or a Week 1 mirage? The good doctor is not sure – and he doesn’t think we’ll have a definitive answer after this game either. The reason? Because Denver’s defense is a disgrace. The Seahawks struggle against elite teams away from home, but have proven that they can beat mediocre to crappy squads on the road. Based on how the Broncos have looked thus far, it’s pretty evident which group they belong to.

Dr. Football: SEAHAWKS TO WIN.

The Coach: SEAHAWKS TO WIN.

St. Louis Rams at Oakland Raiders (-4)

Can the Raiders be more pathetic? From botched snaps, to fumbles, to sacks – the offense was a mess last week. The good news is that they don’t have to play Tennessee’s monstrous defensive line this week. The bad news is that Chris Long and the St. Louis defensive front did a great job of pressuring Derek Anderson last Sunday, so this game is definitely not going to be a cakewalk. The Rams’ Sam Bradford attempted 55 passes in his NFL debut; he played pretty well, going 32-of-55 for 253 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. However, that was at home. Playing on the road is a completely different animal for a rookie, especially with Nnamdi Asomugha lurking in the defensive backfield. We’re flipping a coin here.

Dr. Football: RAIDERS TO WIN, BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: RAIDERS TO WIN AND COVER.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+2)

All offseason, Brady and Belichick have been hearing about how awesome the Jets are. They listened to NFL analysts pick the Jets to win the AFC East and advance to the Super Bowl. Plain and simple, this is a statement game for New England. Oh, and Mark Sanchez is a bum.

Dr. Football: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers (-7.5)

The Chargers are so renowned for starting slowly that no one is even surprised that they lost to the Chiefs on Monday night. Check out this stat: In Norv Turner’s tenure as San Diego’s coach, he has only one victory of more than 10 points in any September. Jaguars, while playing good enough to win last week, won’t win here, but will keep this one close.

Dr. Football: CHARGERS TO WIN, BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

Houston Texans at Washington Redskins (+3)

The Texans are the better team, but there are a couple of things to consider: First, the Texans just enjoyed the biggest win in franchise history. How can they possibly match that same intensity against the Redskins? And secondly, Washington offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan held the exact same position with the Texans last year. If there’s anyone who knows Matt Schaub’s weaknesses, it’s the son of Mike Shanahan. Nevertheless, when in doubt, give it to Arian Foster.

Dr. Football: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER.

SUNDAY NIGHT

New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts (-5.5)

Most games are won in the trenches in football, and that’s just one area where the Colts are unbelievably weak this season. They still have the best quarterback in football who could easily lead them to 12 wins, but they’re not going to cover many large spreads this year against quality opponents. The Giants, without a doubt, are a quality opponent. Having said all that, the Colts will put points on the board as long as Pierre Garcon doesn’t drop too many passes or run too many incorrect routes. Manning and all of his weapons are just too good not to keep pace with the Giants. Just expect more punts than usual from Indianapolis.

Dr. Football: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER.

MONDAY NIGHT

New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers (+5.5)

Last week, no one was worse than the 49ers Alex Smith. Smith was 26-of-45 for 225 yards, but tossed two interceptions on an YPA of 5.0 while completing just 57.8 percent of his passes. Unlike those other three quarterbacks, Smith played the entire game and had the players around him to be successful. Instead, he played disgracefully. Coach Singletary held a meeting as soon as the team plane landed in San Francisco that night, and reportedly called out several players on the team. The 49ers simply were told how great they were all off-season, and they expected that beating the Seahawks was a simple formality. Well, that blowout and the subsequent team meeting was the wake-up call they needed. Dr. Football says: expect the 49ers to be better, but not good enough to beat the champs.

Dr. Football: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: 49ERS TO WIN

Survivor Pool: If you’re in a survivor pool and you want to hold off on Green Bay until later in the season, take Atlanta at home against Arizona.

Last week the Doc was 8-8 and 9-7 against the spread while The Coach went 10-6 straight up and 7-7-2 against the spread.

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Week 1 In the NFL: We Both Love the Vikings in an Upset

Posted on September 8, 2010 by Scott Taylor| Leave a comment

MINNEAPOLIS, MINN. — Every year, the Sports Doctor, AKA Dr. Football, and I get serious about the National Football League.

We love the NHL and the CFL, enjoy the NBA and UFC, even get all teary and patriotic at Olympic time. But we get serious and I mean serious, about The League.

Nothing on this planet compares to the National Football League. It’s the big time in a 100-yard package. We love the stadiums, the cheerleaders, the fans (well, not all the fans), the coaches and all the players who lay their spines on the line every Sunday to give our lives just a little more entertainment (and meaning?).

We also like to place the occasional wager. Not the illegal kind, just plain old fashioned government-supported-and-operated Sport Select. We play Pro-Line and Point Spread and we’re really looking forward to the Pools and Props this fall.

And that’s because we like to pick winners. We like taking the big chance so that maybe, just maybe, this will be the week we win enough dough to head straight to Vegas for a little R and R. And more wagering.

Of course, we also like to argue about our picks and that’s what we’ll be doing every week right here at www.rivercitysportsblog.com all season long. We’re going to give you our picks for the coming week in the NFL and then argue about them.

Couldn’t be anything more fun than that.

So here we go. Blind. Week 1. We all know that the pre-season means nothing. Still, let’s hope we learned enough over the last month to make these selections worth the effort.

THURSDAY NIGHT

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (-5)

Billions of people will watch this matchup because in addition to it being the first game of the 2010 season, a certain quarterback wearing a No. 4 jersey will be playing. Brett Favre hasn’t seen much action this preseason, but in his limited snaps he’s looked pretty good despite missing Sidney Rice. We’re both taking the Vikings. Dr. Football just feels like this game means so much more to the Purple than it does to the Saints. Minnesota has been waiting to avenge their NFC Championship loss since January. The Saints, meanwhile, will be focused on receiving their Super Bowl rings and attending all the festivities in addition to actually playing this game. And while the Coach doesn’t it think it holds much water, young Dr. Football is buying the Super Bowl hangover curse with all his dough.

Dr. Football: VIKINGS TO WIN.

The Coach: VIKINGS TO WIN.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (+3)

Buffalo couldn’t stop the run at all last year, so I don’t see how its new inferior defense will put the clamps on Miami’s vaunted rushing attack. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams could easily combine for 250 rushing yards in this contest.

Dr. Football: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans (-6.5)

The Titans’ two-headed rushing attack is nearly impossible to stop. Defenses can’t commit to the explosive Chris Johnson because Vince Young can take off and run for a big gain. Johnson struggled to get going in the preseason, but that was also the case last August. Plus, left tackle Michael Roos missed more than half of the exhibition because of a minor knee strain. He’ll be in the lineup on Sunday.

Dr. Football: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER

Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots (-4)

The Patriots are at their best when everyone doubts them. It seems like everyone is picking the Jets to win the AFC East and to even advance to the Super Bowl. Tom Brady is completely healthy now and playing for a big contract. Bill Belichick, meanwhile, will come up with some defensive scheme to take advantage of Carson Palmer’s diminished arm strength. We both love the Pats, but watching T.O. and Ocho Cinco play together will be fun.

Dr. Football: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

Carolina Panthers at New York Giants (-7)

This won’t be as easy as the spread sounds. Sure, the Giants will win. I really like the Panthers to cover because of the Giants’ stadium situation. Favourites opening up their new digs are just 3-8 against the spread since 1997. There are just way too many distractions and too much pressure on the team to win their first game in their new home. Plus, the expensive seats keep the more rowdy fans away from the field, thus eliminating some of the host’s advantage. It’s also hard to demolish Carolina when it has such a great rushing game.

Dr. Football: GIANTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: GIANTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5)

One locker room: “Ben Roethlisberger’s out! This is going to be an easy game for us!” The other locker room: “Our starting quarterback is out, and no one thinks we can win without him. Let’s show everyone how wrong they are!”

Dr. Football: STEELERS TO WIN.

The Coach: STEELERS TO WIN.

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

Dr. Football graciously says that he likes this Buccaneers team to improve and win about 5-7 games this year. However, he just doesn’t think they’re in a position to be favoured over anyone yet. Besides, while Tampa Bay has the greater ceiling of these two squads (since they actually have a franchise quarterback), Dr. Football feels like the Browns are further ahead at this moment.

Dr. Football: BROWNS TO WIN.

The Coach: TAMPA TO WIN AND COVER

Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5)

Dr. Football really dislikes Jack Del Rio: “Jack Del Rio, the laziest coach in America probably won’t be game planning too hard for this contest. Del Rio, 0-10 against the spread as a favorite and 4-16 against the spread versus non-divisional foes, simply doesn’t care about contests like these. I fully expect Denver to prevail over the Jaguars and their half-baked game plan. I feel like the Broncos are the superior team anyway.” Ouch, harsh! Coach likes the Jags, “as bad as they are,” simply because Denver’s starters couldn’t beat Minnesota’s practice roster  in the pre-season.

Dr. Football BRONCOS TO WIN.

The Coach: JAGUARS TO WIN AND COVER

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (+2)

Under normal circumstances, Dr. Football would have a big play on the Texans. This is perhaps their most important game in franchise history. They’re finally good enough to slay the Colts, and the crowd will be insane. However, these aren’t normal circumstances because of Peyton Manning. We’ve learned over the years that betting against Manning to win a game straight up in the regular season is absolutely foolish; Manning is 10-2 versus the spread on the road when the line is +3 to -3 since 2007. He’s simply the best, and we both refuse to lay any amount of money against him.

Dr. Football: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: COLTS TO WIN AND COVER

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-6.5)

There are two reasons why Dr. Football loves the Lions: “First of all, the wrong team is favored. Chicago stinks, and Detroit has a shot to win nine games this year. The six-point spread is a joke, and completely based on last year’s results. Secondly, I can’t see the Bears being focused for this matchup. They swept the Lions last year, and have to be more concerned with upcoming battles against the Cowboys and Packers. I feel like this is way more of a statement game for Detroit. This is their opportunity to led the world know that they are for real.” The Coach is a Lions fan who just can’t imagine his team winning at Soldier Field.

Dr. Football: LIONS TO WIN.

The Coach: BEARS TO WIN AND COVER

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (+3)

Most football games are won in the trenches. This is an extremely weak area for the Seahawks. Dr. Football honestly hopes Matt Hasselbeck doesn’t suffer a serious injury in this contest. The 49ers should be able to walk away with an easy victory. This looks like a Week 1 gift from Vegas so bettors can build up their bankroll.

Dr. Football: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Aaron Rodgers has been unstoppable this preseason. He was 41-of-53 for 470 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions. The problem with Green Bay’s offense last season was its pass protection. Rodgers took way too many sacks in the first half of the season. However, that issue was resolved when tackles Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher rejoined the lineup. Rodgers barely saw any pressure the preseason and didn’t take a single sack. They are clearly the better team.

Dr. Football: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (+4)

The Cardinals are the two-time defending NFC West champions, yet everyone is penciling the 49ers in for the division title. Dr. Football: “I can’t imagine a proud, veteran, battle-tested team like Arizona simply rolling over and dying. They have something to prove.” They also have Larry Fitzgerald and they no longer have Matt Leinert. Check out my column at www.fantrax.com for that story.

Dr. Football: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER

SUNDAY NIGHT

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+4)

This figures to be an old-school NFC East defensive brawl. Dallas’ offense isn’t clicking right now, while Washington won’t be able to do much against the Cowboys’ attacking/blitzing defense.

Dr. Football: COWBOYS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

The Coach: COWBOYS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

MONDAY NIGHT

Baltimore Ravens at New York Jets (-2.5)

Joe Flacco won’t be the only struggling quarterback in the first of two Monday night games this week. Mark Sanchez has been absolutely terrible this preseason. “Overall,” says Dr. Football, “I feel like the Ravens are the better team, and like the Giants; the Jets could feel too much pressure having to win the first game in their new stadium.” As if expectations weren’t high enough in New York.

Dr. Football RAVENS TO WIN.

The Coach: JETS TO WIN AND COVER

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (+4.5)

Unless the Chargers commit tons of sloppy mental errors, then this game can’t be close. The only thing we’re concerned about is San Diego’s notorious slow starts under Norv Turner, but this version of the Chiefs is by far the worst team the Chargers have played in any season opener since destroying Art Shell’s completely inept Raiders in 2006.

Dr. Football: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

The Coach: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

Records: Both of us are tied for first (0-0).

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Bombers Lose Again. Not From Lack of Effort.

Posted on September 5, 2010 by Scott Taylor| Leave a comment

On the same day, the Winnipeg Goldeyes ended a disappointing season with a win, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers did their best impersonation of the Cleveland Browns.

Juan Diaz hit his team leading 24th home run of the year and drove in his team-leading 75th run of the year as the Goldeyes beat Schaumburg 4-3 in the final game of the 2010 campaign. Kevin West drove in his 70th run of the year and won the “Hit the Cover off the Ball” Trophy as the team’s leading hitter by finishing the season with a .337 average, just barely ahead of Diaz’s .335. The Goldeyes finished 46-53 and there will be plenty of soul-searching in the off-season.

But enough of the good news. In Regina yesterday, the Bombers were beaten 27-23 by the heavily-favored Saskatchewan Roughriders in the annual Labor Day Classic. The Bombers covered the 10 1/2 points, but they also fell to 2-7 on the season, and also fell further into last place in the CFL East. With the loss, the Bombers also fell out of the lead in the crossover playoff  with the two dogs in the West.

It was a game the Bombers should have won. Easily. But because they play like the Browns, every time it looked as if they just might steal a win, they turned the ball over or dropped a pass or got sacked. It also appears as if they’ve lost No. 1 quarterback Buck Pierce for an extended period of time after he injured his arm late in the fourth quarter on a play that might have been called roughing the quarterback in a different game with a different group of officials.

On Sunday, the Bombers had 391 yards of total offence to 359 for Saskatchewan (without losses), but they never held the lead. The Riders jumped out to a 1-0 lead, a 4-0 lead, a 4-3 lead, an 11-3 lead, and 11-6 lead and an 11-9 lead at the half. Then they held an 11-10 lead, an 18-10 lead, an 18-17 lead, a 25-17 lead, a 26-17 lead, a 27-17 lead and a 27-23 lead. They won 27-23, because the Bombers holder, Mike Renaud, mishandled the snap on the convert attempt with 10 seconds remaining. It was Browns-like.

All in all, it was an ugly day for Winnipeg. If they weren’t turning it over, they were taking a bad penalty. Every time it appeared they were going to take over the game, they screwed up. It was not a lack of effort. It was a lack of concentration against a team that, on this Sunday afternoon, was just that much better.

The Bombers are the best 2-7 team in CFL history, but they’re still 2-7. That means they are still a lousy football team.

And yet, I’ll wager two Sport Select tickets that they win the Banjo Bowl.

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Koskie Named One of 50 All-Time Greatest Twins

Posted on September 3, 2010 by Scott Taylor| Leave a comment

MINNEAPOLIS, MINN. — The kid from Anola made it the day he reached the big leagues. He made it big again in 2001 when he became the first third baseman in Major League history to score 100 runs (100), drive in 100 runs (103), hit 25 home runs (26) and steal 25 bases (27). But tonight at Target Field, he really made it big.

Manitoba’s own Cordel Leonard Koskie, 37, the kid from tiny Anola, MB., was named one of the 50 Greatest Minnesota Twins in a ceremony at the new downtown Minneapolis ballpark on Friday night. He was one of two Canadians named to the team along with New Westminster, B.C.’s Justin Morneau.

Koskie, who was selected in the 26th round of the 1994 amateur draft, was introduced to a wonderful round of applause and took his seat behind home plate along with Kent Hrbek, Rod Carew, Jack Morris, Bert Blyleven, Jim (Mudcat) Grant, Harmon Killebrew and Koskie’s good friend, Paul Molitor.

“I looked down the line and all I could think was, ‘What am I doing here?’” Koskie said with a smile. “Wow! The guys I was out there with… were they ever impressive. This is quite a group. I can’t tell you how honored I am.”

Koskie, who had to retire due to complications from post-concussion syndrome, did play for Team Canada at the World Baseball Classic, before calling it a career. His last Major League season was in 2006 while playing for the Milwaukee Brewers.

These days, Koskie is a business man. The father of four young boys — all baseball and hockey players in the Twin Cities —  owns two Planet Fitness gyms in Minneapolis area and there are times when he thinks that’s crazier than being named one of the 50 Greatest Twins.

“I’ve gone from playing baseball right into the business world and that’s quite a jump,” he said. “I knew nothing about it when I started but I’ve learned quick and I’ve learned a lot.”

Friday night, however, Koskie forgot about the gyms for one moment. He called his moment on the field with Tom Kelly, Brad Radke, Gary Gaetti, Greg Gagne and Tony Oliva, “overwhelming.”

“It was really great to be part of this and see these guys again,” said Koskie. “I feel pretty special.”

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