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CFL Picks Week 7. Can the Green Riders repeat against Stamps at home?

It’s Week 7 in the CFL and it could very well be another CFL “Homer Weekend.”

 

There are two things we know about the Canadian Football League: The West usually beats the East and home teams almost always win.

 

Granted, home teams have a record of 15-9 this season, but on four occasions Western teams beat Eastern teams in the Eastern team’s buildings. That means when you take the Western factor out of the equation, home teams have a 15-5 record. Now that’s significant.

 

This week there are no crossover games. The West does not have a holiday playing the East. That means, despite the records of the competing teams, the ones at home should have an advantage. 

 

In fact, something tells me that even though some visiting teams are prohibitive favourites, that might not matter this week.

 

Here’s a look at the games for Week 7… think home teams. 

 

Toronto Argonauts (3-3) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-5)

 

Thursday, 6 p.m. CT, TSN

There is absolutely no reason to take the Hamilton Tiger-Cats this week. They are 1-5 (and lucky to be 1-5). They can’t figure out whether Richie Williams or Casey Printers should be the quarterback and their best player, Jesse Lumsden, is always hurt. And the smartest football man in Hamilton, Mike McCarthy, is in the Steel City, selling cars. How bad are the Ticats? How’s this? The top two tacklers in the CFL are Ticats. Trouble is they’re both defensive backs which means they can’t cover. Still, Hamilton is playing against Toronto, and as the Bombers proved in a 19-11 loss at Rogers Centre last week, Toronto isn’t that good — especially on offence. If the ‘Cats are going to win another game, this is it.

Pick: Hamilton

Calgary Stampeders (3-3) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-0)

Thursday, 9 p.m. CT, TSN

There is no sane reason to think the Saskatchewan Roughriders have a hope in this one. The Riders will likely go with Marcus Crandell at quarterback this week and despite a strong start, he wasn’t that good in Calgary last week. The Riders are also without receivers Matt Dominguez (who could be done) and Andy Fantuz (who won’t be back until October). This team is banged up and unbeaten and that means they’re ripe to take a beating. But then again, they’re playing at the friendly confines of Mosaic Stadium, they’re playing against a team with the worst defensive secondary in the CFL and they have the best defence in the CFL. Defence wins championships and until somebody can figure out a way to beat that defence, I’ll go with the home team.

Pick: Saskatchewan

Montreal Alouettes (3-3) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-5)

Friday, 6:30 p.m. CT, TSN

This is a very interesting inter-conference game for those, like me, who bet home teams first. Montreal is 3-3 and their only three losses have come at the hands of Western Conference teams. The Als have already beaten Winnipeg once — 42-24 — and they have one of the two best quarterbacks in the league in Anthony Calvillo. The Alouettes are better in every sense of the word and Winnipeg is banged up. There is no possible way the Bombers can win this game. So I’m taking the home team. For no other reason than it’s the CFL East.

Pick: Winnipeg

Edmonton Eskimos (4-2) at B.C. Lions (3-3) 

Friday, 9:30 p.m. CT, TSN

The Eskimos have Ricky Ray while the B.C. Lions have Jarious Jackson and Buck Pierce. Ray is proving he can lead the Eskimos to victory without having to worry about Danny Maciocia. Jarious Jackson and Buck Pierce are having trouble winning without Dave Dickenson. Neither is a starter and neither one looks like a starter and that’s why Edmonton should win this game. But they won’t. The Eskimos are playing in a dome. B.C. is at home and in the CFL, home teams win.

Pick: B.C. Lions

Last Week: 4-0

Season: 13-3

Week 3 in the CFL: So what did we learn this week?

So here were the scores in Week 2:

Calgary 23 Montreal 19

Edmonton 47 Toronto 28

B.C. 42 Winnipeg 24

Saskatchewan 33 Hamilton 28

Notice a trend?

As we pointed out in yesterday’s item, the West is dominating the East. In the first week of West vs. East crossover football, the Western teams won all four matchups. Two of them were three-touchdown blowouts.

It’s pretty clear what we’ve learned, but let’s go a little deeper.

1. The Saskatchewan Roughriders don’t need Michael Bishop, the Toronto Argos  do. I talked with Joe Aiello on 92-CITI-FM in Winnipeg and with Mike Richards on the FAN 960 in Calgary this week about where Michael Bishop might end up. Earlier in the week, the Toronto Argos put their former No. 1 quarterback on recallable waivers to see if there was any interest in a trade. All of us thought  that with the Riders down to their No. 3 quarterback, Bishop would probably look good in Riderville. Guess not. Darian Durant was outstanding in leading Saskatchewan to a 33-28 win in Hamilton and  after Toronto’s evisceration in Edmonton, it’s pretty obvious the Argos need Bishop more than they want to believe. In fact, the Argos need Bishop more than they need Kerry Joseph.

2. There seems to be less talk about firing Edmonton Eskimos head coach Danny Maciocia now. Over the last two weeks, the Eskimos have won 34-31 and 47-28. Things are still shaky in Edmonton despite two home wins, but at least Ricky Ray is once again getting the ball into the end zone. Still, the Esks have a problem on defence. Allowing 34 points to Saskatchewan, 31 to Calgary and 28 to Toronto is, at least, an improvement every week, but if the holes aren’t plugged soon, trips to Toronto and Hamilton over the next two weeks might leave the Esks at 2-3 before they can blink. Unless, of course, the West is so dominant, defences are no longer important.

3. You just gotta love offence – and defence and special teams — and on Friday night, we had a game that actually looked like it took place during the league’s Golden Era of scoring back in the late 80s and early 90s. Behind the brilliance of 22-year-old Tristan Jackson who returned an interception 85 yards for a touchdown and then returned a punt for another 61-yard major (oh, so maybe it’s not offence), the Edmonton Eskimos beat the Toronto Argonauts 47-28. After two weeks of 22-16-type scores it was nice to see every aspect of the game of football represented on the scorebord. And it was nice to be excited about a non-Bombers CFL game again.

4. Memo to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers: Run the freakin’ football. Hamilton’s Jesse Lumsden carried 19 times for 137 yards and two touchdowns before the ‘Cats fell 33-28 to the defending Grey Cup champs — and now 3-0 Saskatchewan Roughriders — in the dying seconds. The Bombers, on the other hand, gave Charles Roberts the ball eight times for 23 yards in a 42-24 shellacking at the hands of the previously 0-2 B.C. Lions (by the way B.C. took a 42-8 lead while the Bombers were ignoring Roberts). In three games, Roberts has a measly 110 rushing yards and the Bombers are 0-3. There is a correlation.

5. Speaking of the Bombers, despite their 42-24 home loss to B.C. this week, it was the first time in seven games (dating back to last year’s Eastern semifinal) that the Bombers offence put up at least 20 points in a game. That’s the good news. The bad news — for Kevin Glenn, at least — is that No. 2 quarterback Ryan Dinwiddie was responsible for 16 of those points. There are some in Winnipeg who think Glenn might be the next Troy Westwood — a well-liked veteran (in the room) who is treated like crap until he’s finally released and then never heard from again. Oh, by the way, after three weeks and an 0-3 record, Glenn is the No. 4 passer (by yardage) in the CFL, ahead of Casey Printers, Jarious Jackson and Kerry Joseph. However, his passer’s rating is a near rock-bottom 67.2.

6. Back to Roberts for just a second. Last year’s rushing champion is now seventh in rushing after three weeks, 252 yards behind leader Jesse Lumsden. Roberts is averaging only nine carries per game and has two touchdowns and no fumbles. He trails a quarterback, Calgary’s Henry Burris, in the rushing race. Despite what head coach Doug Berry would have you believe, the Bombers don’t have a “player” problem, they have a “coach” problem. 

7. My players of the Week: No doubt about it, Geroy Simon and Jason Clermont of the B.C. Lions. In case you needed to be reminded, these guys are big-time receivers who each played a major role in B.C.’s 42-24 shellacking of the Bombers in Winnipeg. Simon caught seven passes for 192 yards and two touchdowns while Clermont caught three passes in traffic for 71 yards. In fact, TSN made a big deal out of a Jason Nugent hit on Clermont on Friday night, but the fact is, Clermont got right back up while Nugent almost didn’t. They’re both big and fast and they have great hands and they’re both part of the reason that, when it’s right, CFL football is wonderful to watch.

 

What we learned in two days: Hamilton, B.C. and Winnipeg aren’t as good as we thought and the CFL is dull.

I had one day of TV-watching and one day at Canada Inns Stadium, and now I’m lost.

 

First of all, I have to admit, I really believed the pre-season hype.

 

I thought, with a healthy Casey Printers around for the full six months and a healthy Jesse Lumsden just, well, kind of around, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats would be a pretty good football team. Boy was I delusional. The Tiger-Cat outfit that was drilled 33-10 in their home opener Thursday night against Montreal, was as dismal a football team as I’ve seen since the Jeff Reinebold-era Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

 

I believed, after the Tiger-Cats beat Toronto in the final pre-season game of 2008 that maybe, just maybe, Charlie Taafe had this thing figured out. Man, was I wrong. Poor ol’ Charlie couldn’t coach a dog in from a snowstorm with a pork chop. 

 

I watched Montreal in the pre-season and they were wonky at best. How Hamilton could lose at home to a much-too-old Anthony Calvillo and a head coach with no experience in 12-man football says a lot of bad things about the Tiger-Cats.

 

Later on Thursday night, I suspected the B.C. Lions would be better, but I wasn’t surprised when Calgary beat them 28-18. On Thursday morning on the Mike Richards Show on Calgary’s The FAN 960, I picked the Stamps to win simply because the combination of Henry Burris and Dave Dickenson at quarterback just seemed so much more skilled and experienced than the combination of Buck Pierce and Jarious Jackson. I was right. 

 

We were told B.C. was the best team in the West. Sorry, but I’m not convinced they’re even a playoff-worthy team.

 

(OK, yeah, yeah, so Danny Maciocia’s coaching in Edmonton so the Lions will make the playoffs.) 

 

Meanwhile, on Friday night in the press box at Canad Inns Stadium, Harvey Rosen of Broadcast News and I, sensed something ugly was about to take place by about the third minute of the fourth quarter of the Winnipeg-Toronto snooze-fest.

 

Two teams with spectacular offensive weapons put up a grand total of 39 points. Zzzzzzzzz! 23-16 is an ugly score in a Canadian Football League game between two teams with players such as Charles Roberts, Kerry Joseph, David Boston, Bethel Johnson, Derrick Armstrong, Jamal Robertson, Mike Vanderjagt, Kevin Glenn, Michael Bishop, Dominique Dorsey and Terrence Edwards.  

 

I don’t get it. Either Steve Buratto and Kit Cartwright, the two offensive co-ordinators, are really lousy at their jobs, or the CFL has become an offensive wasteland where great players go to whither and die.

 

How these two teams, with all that talent, play a 23-16 game on a very nice night for football, is a mystery. I hate pulling out this old chestnut, but 15-to-20 years ago, when the likes of Dunigan, Ham, Hufnagel, Burgess, Clements, Brock, Allen, Flutie, and on and on, played quarterback in this league, the game was thrilling from start to finish. If you didn’t score 30 points, you didn’t have a chance. And often, if you didn’t get to 40, you’d get drilled.

 

Now, if a team can scuffle around and score 20, it can win enough games to reach the Grey Cup.

 

The CFL used to be the most spectacular game in the football world. Now, it pales in comparison to the four-down game where Peyton Manning and Tom Brady play 37-35 extravaganzas. It’s kind of sad. 

 

Winnipeg is not very good offensively. Toronto is only slightly better. And clearly, those are the two best teams in the East. 

 

It’s time for a federal government study on why the CFL has become so boring. Maybe that idiot Senator Larry Campbell could conduct it.