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How Good is Tebow, Really?

NFL football empty stadium seats rain1 300x225 How Good is Tebow, Really?

Enjoying a Jags Game

ORLANDO, Fla. – The legend of Tim Tebow lives on and here in Central Florida, the local fans wish it would live on in the big empty stadium three hours north in downtown Jacksonville.

Tebow grew up just down the road from this navy/shipyard town on the St. John’s River, and grew up to become one of the most gifted high school and college quarterbacks in Florida history. While Jags fans are forced to watch rookie Blaine Gabbert try to figure things out, Tebow just keeps doing more amazing things every week.

Trouble is, Tebow is in Denver.

john elway1 300x225 How Good is Tebow, Really?

John Elway back in the day.

While ESPN’s tall foreheads, the NFL Network’s analysts and most of the American print media continue to rip Tebow and look for every possible hint that Broncos general manager John Elway will either bench him or waive him outright, Tebow himself just smiles and  keeps on winning.

It’s making the average American TV football pundit spit more needless nastiness than a Tea Party Patriot at a Pentecostal prayer meeting.

“You’ve got Aaron Rodgers, you’ve got Drew Brees, you’ve got Tom Brady that set a standard of excellence in football that we haven’t seen,” NFL Network analyst Joe Theismann, told the Associated Press this week.

“What makes 2011 so unique is we have seen quarterback play in this league at such a high extreme and in Tim’s case, the bottom rung when it comes to completions.”

Theismann just hates Tebow and yet, like so many of today’s TV haters, he loves to give all the credit to a Denver defence that didn’t do diddly ‘tll Tebow stepped in as the starter.

“That defense is as good as any in football right now,” Theismann told AP. “The offense doesn’t turn the ball over. There’s been one interception in seven games. I say this tongue-in-cheek: The way Tim throws the ball sometimes, nobody has a shot at getting it, his guy, the defenders. It’s either bounce it in the ground or throw it in the third row.”

Thiesmann is a jackass. If that Denver defense is so good now, why wasn’t it that good early in the season when the Broncos started out 1-4?

The answer is simple. Professional sports teams almost always play well in all aspects of the game when they have a leader on the field that they believe can win football games. And when that leader is a quarterback, all the better.

Tebow can win. Period. He’s not pretty and he doesn’t have great numbers, but he wins. And while all the analysts were moaning all week about how terrible he is, give ESPN credit. Their writers and producers created the following comparison between Tebow early in his career and his boss, Hall of Famer John Elway early in his career. The numbers are staggering:

ELWAY 1983                                              TEBOW 2010-11

4-6                                             W-L                                      7-3

47.1                               Completion Pct.                         48.5

1,529                                Passing Yards                            1,626

6-14                                         TD-Int.                                     13-4

1                                        Rushing TDs                               5

Now, granted, Elway’s first 10 starts all came in his rookie season while Tebow’s have come in his first two seasons in the league (more in Season 2, obviously). However, that shouldn’t matter. Straight up, number against number, Tebow has had considerably more success than his boss.

Broncos Mini Camp J 437836e 300x291 How Good is Tebow, Really?

Tim Tebow

And when you consider that Tebow took a team that was 1-4 and made it 7-5 in seven weeks, you would expect that maybe, just maybe, the American media would concede that the kid is OK.

Nope. From Merrill Hoge to Shannon Sharpe, the ripping just keeps on coming. They hate that he doesn’t pass like Aaron Rodgers or run like Michael Vick or manage an offence like Tom Brady. And it really pisses them off that he wins.

And yet, throughout the NFL (especially right here in Jacksonville) there are quarterbacks who have “an NFL skill-set,” but couldn’t lead a team nor beat a defence made up of 11 DMV employees.

I mean, really? Blaine Gabbert? Christian Ponder? Josh Freeman? Josh Johnson? Carson Palmer? Colt McCoy? Tarvaris Jackson? Sam Bradford? Matt Hasselbeck? Philip Rivers? (OK, maybe we can blame Norv Turner for that one). Even in Detroit, the Lions have a good young quarterback, a kid that the NFL analysts love, but Matt Stafford is 7-5 and has been horrible the past two weeks. Hey, Eli Manning is 6-6.

The NFL is full of quarterbacks who LOOK like quarterbacks, but none of them can win, they don’t protect the football and they don’t manage games very well.

Still, the NFL’s TV critics like to dump on Tim Tebow and treat the rest of our list of losers as if they were all the next Peyton Manning.

I like unorthodox quarterbacks. They’re fun and exciting. From Joe Kapp to Steve Young to Randall Cunningham to Michael Vick to yes, Tim Tebow, they’re like Tiger Woods, something to break the monotony of a load of mediocrity that all looks the same.

Week 14 Pretty Sensational… and Two More Games to Go

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — While sitting in the press box in Jacksonville, Fla., yesterday, most of the conversation that wasn’t being directed toward David Garrard and the surprisingly good Jags, was being directed at Brett Favre, his swollen collarbone and the big hole in the Metrodome’s Teflon roof.

Early Sunday morning, the big pillow in Minneapolis collapsed under the weight of a foot and a half of snow which immediately meant two things: (1) Sunday’s game between the Vikings and New York Giants that was already postponed until Monday night because of the blizzard in the Twin Cities, would now have to be played in Detroit and (2) This is the beginning of the end for the Vikings in Minnesota?

You can pretty much guarantee that if a new building for the Vikings isn’t on the front burner of the Minnesota House, the Vikes won’t be playing in the cold much longer. Both L.A. and San Antonio are calling and the money seems to be in place to make that franchise comfortable in warmer climes. If the Minnesota legislature isn’t preapred to build a new stadium soon, you can pretty much start packing up the moving vans.

Art Modell, Georgia Frontiere and the Irsay family would be so proud.

Meanwhile, Brett Favre told reporters in Minneapolis and Detroit that he expects his streak of 297 consecutive starts as an NFL quarterback to end tonight. Favre’s shoulder/clavicle injury has not responded as well as he’d like to treatment and he said it’s likely Tarvaris Jackson will start tonight against the Giants.

Well, it had to end sometime.

OK, Sport Select and Fantasy Players, here are your NFL scores and highlights for Week 14…

Last night…

Philadelphia 30 Dallas 27

The Eagles improved to 9-4 as DeSean Jackson had 210 yards receiving and scored the winning touchdown early in the fourth quarter. Michael Vick threw for a touchdown and ran for another.

Yesterday afternoon…

Detroit 7 Green Bay 3

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers left the game with a concussion in the first quarter and never returned. In the end, Drew Stanton of the Lions out-dueled Matt Flynn of the Packers.

New England 36 Chicago 7

The Pats clinched a playoff berth and improved to 11-2 as Tom Brady threw for 369 yards and two touchdowns in a snow-storm in Chicago. Deion Branch caught eight passes for 151 yards and a touchdown. The Pats have won five straight.

Jacksonville 38 Oakland 31

The game we watched yesterday here in Florida was a thriller. David Garrard threw three TD passes while Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 101 yards and a touchdown, the sixth straight game in which Jones-Drew has rushed for 100 yards or more. Oakland’s Darren McFadden rushed for 123 yards and two touchdowns and caught three passes for 86 yards and another TD.

Tampa Bay 17 Washington 16

Washington scored in the dying seconds and were about to kick the extra point to send the game into overtime when they botched the point after and lost.

Miami 10 NY Jets 6

Miami’s Chad Henne found Brandon Marshall for the game’s only touchdown in the first quarter.

Atlanta 31 Carolina 10

Falcons runningback Michael Turner carried 28 times for 112 yards and three touchdowns.

Buffalo 13 Cleveland 6

Buffalo’s Fred Jackson rushed for 112 yards while Cleveland’s Peyton Hillis rushed for 108 yards but neither team had miuch more offence than that.

Pittsburgh 23 Cincinnati 7

The Steelers didn’t have much offence, but Troy Polamalu and LaMarr Woodley each returned interceptions for touchdowns. The Bengals have lost 10 straight.

New Orleans 31 St. Louis 13

Drew Brees threw three touchdown passes, two to Marques Colston.

San Francisco 40 Seattle 21

Niners quarterback Alex Smith threw for 255 yards and three touchdowns.

Arizona 43 Denver 13

Arizona’s Tim Hightower carried 18 times for 148 yards and two touchdowns.

San Diego 31 Kansas City 0

The Chargers Phillip Rivers threw for 226 yards and two touchdowns.

Tonight, two games on a Monday: Baltimore plays at Houston in the real Monday Nighter, while the Giants face Minnesota at Detroit in the fake Monday Nighter.

What Happens If….?

The decade of the 2000s or “The Aughts,” as they’ve been called, come to an end in about four days.

With that end, comes more questions than answers.

In fact, here are five questions, all starting with What Happens If….?

A brave new world awaits, old media panics, new media has a field day and if there is one thing we know, it’s this: Sports will change dramatically in the decade of the “Tens.”

So what happens if…

1) The Canadian Olympic Team doesn’t “win the podium” in Vancouver this February? With all the national, television-generated pre-Olympic hype, how badly will the traditional media treat our athletes if they don’t win every medal in every event. “I Believe,” it will get ugly.

2) The NHL’s non-traditional markets keep taking a beating? Tickets are now virtually free, the teams aren’t winning, there is limited interest, newspapers have stopped covering many of the teams on the road, Versus isn’t ESPN and there are often more empty seats than seats with butts in them. The NHL will look differently in five years if Bush’s recession doesn’t end.

3) The NHL’s non-traditional markets keep taking a beating? Will the NHL return to Winnipeg?

4) The CFL doesn’t get some new stadiums soon? Canad Inns Stadium in Winnipeg is a dump, Ivor Wynne Stadium in Hamilton is worse, Ottawa doesn’t have a stadium, Toronto doesn’t have a place to play and the east coast still doesn’t have a suitable stadium for CFL expansion. The biggest problem in the CFL is not fan-support or media-support, it’s government support. And without new stadiums, the league could be on its last legs.

5) The Indianapolis Colts never get it back? After having the gall to actually charge people money for that debacle on Sunday afternoon, Colts chicken-livered head coach Jim Caldwell (coaching scared is the worst thing a coach can ever do) doesn’t deserve to win another game. If you look around the NFL, buildings are seldom full anymore. I’ve been in Jacksonville and Tampa this season when there have been 25,000-30,000 empty seats. The NFL can claim record numbers of sellouts if it likes (I think “tickets distributed” is the term), but only the best teams truly sell out anymore. Indy was a team that sold out, but if I was a fan, I would be a lot more hesitant about buying tickets in the future. When coaches throw games in order to rest the stars — because they are afraid of injury — the premise of professional football goes out the window. What happened Sunday in Indianapolis was unprofessional. In a recession that appears as if it’s going to last for decades not months, that kind of unprofessional approach to the game could come back and bite a franchise in the ass.

Nobody in Tampa, Nobody in Jacksonville and Jason Whitlock Gets it Right Again

TAMPA, Fla. — Sitting in the press box at the St. Pete Times Forum wondering where the hockey fans went…

I remember coming to Lightning games and seeing at least 15,000 people inside this beautiful building in downtown Tampa, cheering and screaming and urging on their hockey heroes.

But not anymore.

Tonight, the Lightning will probably announce a crowd of 13,000 or 14,000, but the reality is, this building is not half full. And the truly sad part is that Alexander Ovechkin and a very good Washington Capitals team is playing a Lightning club that struggles on defence but has every weapon on offence — Marty St. Louis, Vinny Lecavalier, Steven Stamkos and Ryan Malone. If you live in Tampa and you don’t like this Lightning team, you just don’t like hockey.

Of course, it could all just be part of a recession that few people want to admit is seriously affecting professional sports. I was in Jacksonville yesterday as the Jaguars took another step toward an AFC wild card berth with a 23-18 win over Houston, but fewer than 43,000 people were in the  stands. It was the smallest crowd in Jaguars history.

Fact is, if you want to buy tickets to any sporting event in America these days, there are “plenty of good seats available.” My wife just bought a $50 ticket to the Pro Bowl from Ticketmaster. Nobody thought there would be Pro Bowl tickets available if the NFL moved the game from Honolulu to South Florida, but nobody thought the recession would kick the crap out of ticket sales the way it has.

Tonight, here in Tampa, Ovechkin is wheeling all over the rink while Lecavalier had had three great scoring chances in the first period. It’s a good hockey game. But if there are 6,000 people in this building, I’ll eat the seats.

(NOTE: Just watched Ovechkin score his 19th goal of the season on a one-timer after taking a great pass from Alexander Semin. Ovie is worth the price of admission and I can assure you that here in Tampa, the price of admission ain’t much.)

NOTE: There is only one mainstream media reporter who truly understands the Tiger Woods scandal. Read Jason Whitlock of the Kansas City Star at: http://www.kansascity.com/182/story/1613268.html?storylink=omni_popular.

After reading his column, the rest of the issue is moot.

Put on your fantasy thinking caps. The 2008 NFL season starts tonight.

Say whatever you like, but this is the greatest moment of the sports calendar.

 

The National Football League, the greatest sports league on the planet, opens a new season tonight with the Washington Redskins at the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants (that’s still hard to write with a straight face), and I have just spent an entire morning answering questions like these…

 

“I have a choice. The Lions defence in Atlanta or the Jags defence in Tennessee? What do you think?”

 

I like the Lions defence, not because I particularly like the Lions defence per se, but because the Lions are favoured on the road for the first time in 23 games and only the fourth time this decade, so since hell has indeed frozen over again, I fear Vince Young more than I fear Matt Ryan.

 

“I have a choice between Matt Hasselbeck in Buffalo or Derek Anderson at home against Dallas. What do you think?”

 

I hate road openers (unless it’s Detroit in Atlanta), and I’m not sure Dallas is as good as everyone thinks. Derek Anderson will put up some points at home. I’m not sure Hasselbeck, against a pretty decent Buffalo defence playing in their own backyard, will do much of anything.

 

“I can either go with Arizona’s Anquan Boldin at San Francisco or the Jets’ Jerricho Cotchery in Miami. What do you think?”

 

Boldin is a great receiver, but Kurt Warner will look for Larry Fitzgerald first (wouldn’t you?). Boldin doesn’t even want to be in Aizona anymore. Brett Favre, meanwhile, seems to love Cotchery. Big target who runs Brett’s routes. Take Cotchery simply because he’s going to see the football.

 

Isn’t this fun? It’s football season. Real football season. Major league football season. And there is nothing more fun than lining up your fantasy team in Week 1.

 

So without further adieu, here are the 10 things you need to know heading into the NFL’s Kickoff Weekend:

 

1. The Lions and Vikings will battle for first in the NFC North. Barring catastrophic injuries to either team, they could both battle for the NFC crown. In fact, if you’re looking for a sleeper team in the NFC this season, look out for Detroit. they have an easy travel schedule (only 11,860 miles, making them 27th on a list led by Seattle at 34,766 miles) and their quarterback, Jon Kitna, is not as inept as his reputation would suggest. In fact, Kitna threw for 4,068 yards last year, his second with the Lions, becoming the first quarterback in club history with back-to-back 4,000-yard seasons.  Kitna, who passed for a career-high 4,208 yards in 2006, ranks fourth in the NFL with 8,276 yards over the past two seasons. The 12-year veteran has thrown for 200 yards in 28 of his 32 starts with Detroit, the most 200-yard games in the NFL during that span. If the Lions get any defence at all, they could win a lot of football games. 

 

2. The New York Giants won an NFL single-season record 10 consecutive road games in 2007, going 7-1 in the regular season. Considering they opened the year in London, England, they travelled 15,618 total miles. They won’t do that again and, as a result, won’t win the NFC East.

 

3. Watch out for teams with a “tandem backfield.” In 2007, 12 clubs boasted two running backs each with at least 500 rushing yards apiece, including five playoff teams: Dallas, Indy, the Jags, the Giants and Seattle. In fact, in Jacksonville, Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor (1,202) combined for 1,970 yards and they went 12-4 with a first round playoff win.

 

4. RUN THE FOOTBALL!!! Last season, teams with a 100-yard rusher won 73.4 per cent of the time, compared to 56.9 per cent for teams with a 100-yard receiver and only 53.1 per cent for teams with a 300-yard passer. Run the football, win the game.

 

5. Oh yeah, and force turnovers. San Diego led in takeaway-to-giveaway ratio with a plus-24 takeaway differential and finished 11-5 (it didn’t hurt to have LaDainian Tomlinson either). 13-3 Indy was next at plus-18 while 16-0 New England was third at plus-16.

 

6. The New England Patriots went 16-0 last season. They also finished first in fourth-down conversions, going 11-for-11 and second in sacks with 47. The Super Bowl champion New York Giants led in sacks with 53, but both defensive ends Michael Strahan (rertirement) and Osi Umenyiora (knee injury) are gone.

 

7. Win in Week 1: According to the NFL’s media department, there are never any guarantees, “but there are trends and they start in Week 1.” History is clear that the best way for a team to start its drive towards a possible Super Bowl championship is to win its opening game. The 42 Super Bowl winners have a 34-7-1 record in the Kickoff Weekend games of their title seasons. However, as the Super Bowl XLII champion New York Giants proved, a loss on Kickoff Weekend can still lead to a championship season. According to the league, since 1978, when the NFL went to the 16-game schedule, and excluding the abbreviated season of 1982, teams that are victorious on Kickoff Weekend are more than twice as likely to reach the playoffs than losers of an opening game. 

 

8. Once again, you have to like Pittsburgh. After all, QB Ben Roethlisberger is chasing his third divisional title in five years. Roethlisberger has a 39-16 (.709) regular-season record and was named to his first Pro Bowl after shattering the Steelers’ single-season record for passing touchdowns (32) and passer rating (104.1) last season. Yeah, it’s hard NOT to like Pittsburgh.

 

9.  A team that’s been forgotten during the pre-season is Tampa. The Bucs won the NFC South last year and have won the division three times under head coach Jon Gruden. In fact, under Gruden, the Bucs are 17-0 since 2002 when not committing turnover. Meanwhile, quarterback Jeff Garcia was named to Pro Bowl last year and in his career (incl. playoffs), Garcia’s teams are 32-12 (.727) when he has 95+ passer rating. The Bucs will not roll over this year.

 

10. Can the Giants repeat? The short answer is no, but until we meet up in Tampa in January, who really knows, right?