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Canadian Football League Picks for Week 9: All theories out the window.

It’s Week 9 in the CFL and, this week, it’s all about the Western Conference. And this week, we don’t have to worry about West vs. East or home team advantage. 

 

The East has the bye this week so there are only two games on the CFL schedule, both Western Conference matchups. On Thursday night, Saskatchewan, coming off that tough home loss to Calgary, will travel to Edmonton to meet an Eskimos team that just might be better than everyone thought while on Friday night, the Calgary Stampeders with its league-leading offence heads into B.C. Place Stadium where it has lost seven consecutive games to the B.C. Lions.

 

As we head into this week’s two-game Western affair, Saskatchewan leads the way at 6-1 while the remaining three teams are deadlocked at 4-3. It would be a surprise if one of the four Western teams missed the playoffs. This is shaping up to be a crossover year.

 

This week, two teams will close the gap and a fourth-place team will actually become a legitimate fourth-place team. Although it will be a legitimate third-place team in the East.

 

Here’s a look at the games for Week 9… think close, high-scoring games. 

 

Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-1) at Edmonton Eskimos (4-3) 

 

Thursday, 8 p.m. CT, TSN

 

Saskatchewan will have a couple of its seriously injured players back, but there has to be one  question asked: How long will the Riders last with so many injuries to so many skilled players? This team went 6-0, even without some of its top performers in the lineup, but even with a week off, Rider fans are not going to see the likes of Andy Fantuz, D.J. Flick, Matt Dominguez or defensive end John Chick. When they lost to Calgary last week, the Riders had 18 players on the injured list. This week, 16 players are still on the list despite the two-week break. Interestingly, earlier in the season with all their skilled players in the lineup, in a game at Mosaic Stadium in Regina, the Riders whipped Edmonton 34-14. With all the injuries, it won’t happen twice.

 

Pick: Edmonton

 

Calgary Stampeders (4-3) at B.C. Lions (4-3)

  

Friday, 9:30 p.m. CT, TSN

 

Sport Select’s Point Spread game has made the B.C. Lions 4 1/2-point favourites this week and one supposes that’s probably fair. After all, the Lions have won seven straight games against the Stamps at B.C. Place Stadium. There is no reason why Calgary should be considered a favourite. But I just can’t help myself. The Stamps won last week in Regina and the Roughriders — with 18 players on the injured list — is still a better football team than the Jarious Jackson-led Lions. In most offensive categories, B.C. is in the bottom half of the league while Calgary is in the top half. On defence, Calgary dominates. The real question here is: How did Calgary and B.C. both get to 4-3? Calgary is a 6-1 or 5-2 team that blew late leads (to Edmonton and Winnipeg, for instance). B.C. is a 2-5 team that won some games it should not have won (against Montreal and Edmonton). In Week 1, Calgary beat B.C. by 10 (28-18). It’s hard not like the Stamps. 

 

Pick: Calgary

 

Last Week: 1-1

 

Season: 16-6

CFL Picks Week 7. Can the Green Riders repeat against Stamps at home?

It’s Week 7 in the CFL and it could very well be another CFL “Homer Weekend.”

 

There are two things we know about the Canadian Football League: The West usually beats the East and home teams almost always win.

 

Granted, home teams have a record of 15-9 this season, but on four occasions Western teams beat Eastern teams in the Eastern team’s buildings. That means when you take the Western factor out of the equation, home teams have a 15-5 record. Now that’s significant.

 

This week there are no crossover games. The West does not have a holiday playing the East. That means, despite the records of the competing teams, the ones at home should have an advantage. 

 

In fact, something tells me that even though some visiting teams are prohibitive favourites, that might not matter this week.

 

Here’s a look at the games for Week 7… think home teams. 

 

Toronto Argonauts (3-3) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-5)

 

Thursday, 6 p.m. CT, TSN

There is absolutely no reason to take the Hamilton Tiger-Cats this week. They are 1-5 (and lucky to be 1-5). They can’t figure out whether Richie Williams or Casey Printers should be the quarterback and their best player, Jesse Lumsden, is always hurt. And the smartest football man in Hamilton, Mike McCarthy, is in the Steel City, selling cars. How bad are the Ticats? How’s this? The top two tacklers in the CFL are Ticats. Trouble is they’re both defensive backs which means they can’t cover. Still, Hamilton is playing against Toronto, and as the Bombers proved in a 19-11 loss at Rogers Centre last week, Toronto isn’t that good — especially on offence. If the ‘Cats are going to win another game, this is it.

Pick: Hamilton

Calgary Stampeders (3-3) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-0)

Thursday, 9 p.m. CT, TSN

There is no sane reason to think the Saskatchewan Roughriders have a hope in this one. The Riders will likely go with Marcus Crandell at quarterback this week and despite a strong start, he wasn’t that good in Calgary last week. The Riders are also without receivers Matt Dominguez (who could be done) and Andy Fantuz (who won’t be back until October). This team is banged up and unbeaten and that means they’re ripe to take a beating. But then again, they’re playing at the friendly confines of Mosaic Stadium, they’re playing against a team with the worst defensive secondary in the CFL and they have the best defence in the CFL. Defence wins championships and until somebody can figure out a way to beat that defence, I’ll go with the home team.

Pick: Saskatchewan

Montreal Alouettes (3-3) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-5)

Friday, 6:30 p.m. CT, TSN

This is a very interesting inter-conference game for those, like me, who bet home teams first. Montreal is 3-3 and their only three losses have come at the hands of Western Conference teams. The Als have already beaten Winnipeg once — 42-24 — and they have one of the two best quarterbacks in the league in Anthony Calvillo. The Alouettes are better in every sense of the word and Winnipeg is banged up. There is no possible way the Bombers can win this game. So I’m taking the home team. For no other reason than it’s the CFL East.

Pick: Winnipeg

Edmonton Eskimos (4-2) at B.C. Lions (3-3) 

Friday, 9:30 p.m. CT, TSN

The Eskimos have Ricky Ray while the B.C. Lions have Jarious Jackson and Buck Pierce. Ray is proving he can lead the Eskimos to victory without having to worry about Danny Maciocia. Jarious Jackson and Buck Pierce are having trouble winning without Dave Dickenson. Neither is a starter and neither one looks like a starter and that’s why Edmonton should win this game. But they won’t. The Eskimos are playing in a dome. B.C. is at home and in the CFL, home teams win.

Pick: B.C. Lions

Last Week: 4-0

Season: 13-3