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The Coach and The Doc Take… The Patriots

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Tom Brady

TAMPA… HEADING NORTH — There are people in the Heartland who believe that if Eli Manning wins Sunday’s Super Bowl, he’ll pass brother Peyton in all levels of the game. With a win on Sunday, Eli will be the bigger winner. Eli will be the greater leader. Honest, Eli will be a better quarterback than Peyton.

Poppycock.

Here are the numbers: Peyton has been named MVP four times, Eli none. Peyton has been to the Pro Bowl 11 times in 12 seasons; Eli, twice in eight seasons. Peyton has been first-team All-Pro five times, Eli none. Peyton’s career passer’s rating is 94.9, Eli’s is 82.1. Need more? Didn’t think so.

Peyton has one Super Bowl ring; Eli has one Super Bowl ring. Trent Dilfer has one Super Bowl ring.

Peyton is a better quarterback than his brother. Easy.

However, this weekend, Eli could join his brother with a ticket to the Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio, and that’s something nobody would expect with Eli’s numbers. If Eli ties Ben Roethlisberger and claims his second Super Bowl ring this Sunday aevening, Eli will punch his ticket to the Hall and that’s a surprise in itself.

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Eli Manning

This season, Eli was fourth in passing yards in the NFL with 4,933, 13th in passing percentage at 61.0, fifth in completions with 359, sixth in TD passes with 29 and seventh in interceptions with 16. He didn’t really have a great year, leading his team to a 9-7 record in the regular season, but he has been superb in the playoffs and that’s definitely when it counts the most.

Of course, on Sunday, Nov. 6, Manning threw for 250 yards and two touchdowns as the Giants beat New England 24-20. If Manning can do it again on Sunday, his legacy is set.

Sadly, The Coach and Dr. Football aren’t sure he can. In fact, our two experts — two experts who had terrific seasons picking winners this year — believe that Eli just might get his butt handed to him.

newaerial2 300x199 The Coach and The Doc Take... The Patriots

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

SUPER BOWL XLVI

THE 2012 NFL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME FOR THE VINCE LOMBARDI TROPHY

SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT 5 P.M. CST

 

NFC Champion New York Giants (12-7) vs. AFC Champion New England Patriots (15-3)

Line: Patriots by 3.5

Super Bowl Sunday is widely regarded as the Thanksgiving Day of sporting events, and wings have become its turkey-like centerpiece. Americans will scoff down 1.25 billion chicken wings on Super Bowl Sunday alone, as well as 8 million slices of pizza, 46 million pounds of potato chips and 71 million pounds of guacamole, probably before Madonna hits the stage.

That’s a good afternoon.

There happens to be a football game as well. Here are a few predictions. New England’s Tom Brady will throw for a bunch of touchdowns. And after each one, NBC will remind us that he is married to a “super model”. Giants Eli Manning will also throw a bunch of touchdown passes, and after each one NBC will show his brother Peyton cheering him on from some millionaires suite. NBC will also remind us that Eli and Peyton are brothers as if we didn’t know.

Anyway, expect the Patriots to get their revenge and cover the 3 ½ point spread.

This season the Doc was 174-92 straight up and 149-117 against the spread. The Coach, who picked both the Giants and Patriots two weeks ago, 178-88 straight up and 146-120 against the spread.

DR FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

We Both Like New England. After That…

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The Brady

There will be four starting quarterbacks playing in this Sunday’s NFC and AFC championship games. Three of them were first round draft picks. Which one wasn’t?

If I didn’t know, my first guess would be Alex Smith. After all, as he toiled under a handful of second-rate offensive coordinators and off-and-on head coaches, Smith spent six seasons bouncing from the bench to the action and back to the bench. But the reality is this: Smith was the first overall pick in 2005 NFL draft out of the University of Utah.

So then, my second guess would be Joe Flacco. He doesn’t put up big numbers and he’s kind of inconsistent, playing on a team with a  monster defense that scares the crap out of most opponents. But no. He was the first round pick of the Ravens (18th overall) out of the University of Delaware in 2008.

Uh, oh. I know it wasn’t Eli Manning. He was the No. 1 overall pick by the Giants out of Mississippi in 2004. Knew that.

It’s amazing, isn’t it? After all of his championships (three Super Bowl titles), his huge numbers, his long list of record-setting performances and all his awards (two-time Super Bowl MVP), not to mention he was actor Bridget Moynihan’s baby-daddy and he’s married to super model Giselle Bundchen, Tom Brady was a sixth-round pick, (199th overall) by the Patriots in 2000 and didn’t even get a chance to play until Drew Bledsoe got hurt.

Amazingly, he is still the best all-around quarterback in football today and he will lead the Patriots into another Super Bowl this Sunday when New England demolishes Baltimore.

However, neither The Doc nor I can agree on what’s going to happen when two No. 1 overall picks meet in San Francisco. Will it be the Manning and the Giants or Smith and the Niners? For that answer, you’ll have to read on.

Last week the Doc was 2-2 (173-91) straight up and 1-3 (148-116) against the spread. The Coach was 2-2-(176-88) straight up and 2-2 (144-120) against the spread.

The Doc will write this week’s justifications and The Coach will do what he does best: Make snot-ass remarks.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

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Rob Gronkowski

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP

Baltimore Ravens (13-4) at New England Patriots (14-3)
Line: Patriots by 7

This game is tougher to pick than the Vegas spread makes it out to be. On Wild Card Weekend in 2010, the Ravens went into New England and whooped them 33-14 with Ray Rice rushing for 159 yards and 2 TDs so the Ravens have a little history on their side…but that’s about all that’s on their side. Sure the Ravens bring a defense that features some heavy hitters like Terrell Suggs, Haloti Ngata and Ray Lewis and a ball hawk like Ed Reed. They’re not going to give up 40 points like the Broncos did, but they will struggle containing Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez and Tom Brady’s also coming off a record setting performance and he is on a roll and I expect him to have another big game. The Patriots are heading to Indy. (Coach sez: As good as the Baltimore defensive secondary is, and it is good, they will not have an answer for Brady and his two tight ends).

DR FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

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Eli Manning

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

New York Giants (11-7) at San Francisco 49ers (14-3)
Line: 49ers by 2.5

I like the 49ers. Their defense is solid and their offense showed it can score. putting up 36 points in an exciting win over the Saints. But there’s something going on with the Giants. They made Green Bay pay for every mistake it made and they made every big play in the game in a huge win at Lambeau. QB Eli Manning was calculating and used all his weapons effectively in a game where very few people gave them a chance. The last time these two teams met, back on Nov. 13, the 49ers won 27-20, mostly without the services of their best player, Frank Gore. While the Giants’ defense has been good lately, their run defense is below average (19th in the NFL). One has to think that with a healthy Gore, the 49ers will head to Indy as well. (Coach sez: The Giants beat Green Bay on the road. That defense will roast the Niners).

DR FOOTBALL: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: GIANTS TO WIN.

How Far Can the Tebow Dream Soar?

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Tim Tebow: Is it Magic or Faith?

He pulled off the miracle last Sunday at home. Can the Chosen One do it again?

Tim Tebow’s brilliant pass to Demaryius Thomas (a Gator to a Golden Knight) for an 80-yard touchdown on the first play of overtime gave the 8-8 Denver Broncos and almost unthinkable 29-23 win over the 10-6 Pittsburgh Steelers in the final game of Wild Card Weekend. With the victory, the Broncos stunned the football world and yet their reward is another impossible task: the New England Patriots, a team that beat them 41-23 in Denver on Dec. 18.

Now were this game in Denver, I might be inclined to continue to believe in the magic and the hype, but it’s not in Denver and it involves an opposing quarterback who is not only perfectly healthy (last week the Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger couldn’t walk, let alone run) but has won big games before — Tom Brady. We’ll find out this weekend if Tebow just magical or if this is the result of pure, unadulterated faith.

This week, Tebow will face one of the worst defenses ever to be part of a 13-3 team and yet he’s still going to have to put up a huge number of points because we all know Brady will. This could mean the end of the Denver Dream, but if it doesn’t, then the sky is definitely the limit.

This week it’s Division Playoff Weekend and even though Vegas has handed us four prohibitive favorites, there is always a chance something wild, wonderful and wacky could happen. Unlikely, sure, but there is always a chance. After all, the Broncos won last week.

And last week the Doc was 3-1 (171-89) straight up and 2-2 (147-113) against the spread. Coach was 2-2 straight up (174-86) and 2-2 (142-118) against the spread.

This week, The Doc is on holidays, so the responsibility for our weekly NFL picks falls at the feet  of The Coach alone. And make no mistake, The Coach has picked up the mantle. Of course, if The Doc gets off the beach (or out of the bar) to send in his picks, we’ll add them later. (Note: The Doc left the bar. His picks are included).

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

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Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints (14-3) at San Francisco 49ers (13-3)
Line: Saints by 3.5

At his news conference this week, New Orleans coach Sean Payton said this about the 49ers: “They’ve been very consistent all year. The formula has been outstanding defense. They’re the No. 1 team in taking the football away and they’re the No. 1 team in protecting the football offensively. Those are significant numbers.” Indeed. Especially in the playoffs. However, the Saints simply ripped up NFL defenses. Drew Brees and the Saints set NFL records for total yards on offense (7,474) and yards passing (5,347, including sacks). Brees also blew up Dan Marino’s 27-year-old record of 5,084 yards passing by throwing for 5,476. He had 468 completions, breaking Peyton Manning’s 2010 mark of 450, and completed 71.6 percent of his passes, breaking his own 2009 record of a 70.6 completion percentage. Meanwhile, little Darren Sproles set an NFL record with 2,696 combined yards, easily breaking the previous mark of 2,690 set by Derrick Mason with Tennessee in 2000. The Saints simply have too much offense.

DR. FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER 

SATURDAY NIGHT

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Tom Brady

Denver Broncos (9-8) at New England Patriots (13-3)
Line: Patriots by 13.5

Back in December, QB Tim Tebow played very well early in a game with New England and built a 16-7 first quarter lead. But the lead was short-lived and the Patriots won handily 41-23. That game was in Denver. This one is in Foxboro and it’s unlikely Brady and his powerful Patriots offense will start so slowly  Still, that game against New England was probably Tebow’s best performance until last week’s game with Pittsburgh. Rev. Tim threw  for 194 yards and ran for 93 more and scored two touchdowns. But it was clear by halftime that the Broncos simply weren’t good enough and despite the fact New England’s defense is banged up and porous, this Patriots team is still too much for Denver. Even with Tim Tebow at quarterback.

DR. FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER 

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

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Joe Flacco

Houston Texans (11-6) at Baltimore Ravens (12-4)
Line: Ravens by 7.5

It’s hard not to like the Ravens in a romp, but the numbers give me pause. Baltimore was only 4-3-1 against the spread at home during the regular season.  In the final four games of the season, Baltimore’s offense was not very good at all. They put up only 24 points at home against Indy, the worst team in the NFL, 14 on the road against San Diego, 20 against the Browns and 24 against Cincinnati. Not awful, but certainly not outstanding. Baltimore’s defense wasn’t great either (I know that because Baltimore was my fantasy D). Terrell Suggs and Co. gave up 34 to San Diego on Dec. 18. Not good. Right now, Houston’s defense might be better than Baltimore’s. In fact, Houston is playing quite well under the circumstances. T.J. Yates ain’t no Matt Schaub, but he was certainly good enough last weekend in the Wild Card playoff game against Cincinnati. Meanwhile, Houston’s D was ranked second in the NFL right behind Pittsburgh. If the Ravens were on the road, I’d have a different opinion of this one.

DR. FOOTBALL: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: RAVENS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

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Aaron Rodgers: Maybe it IS faith.

New York Giants (10-7) at Green Bay Packers (15-1)
Line: Packers by 7.5.
 

The Giants were terrific on both sides of the football in last week’s 24-2 thrashing of the Atlanta Falcons, but that was on a balmy day in New Jersey. This week, the Jints have to play at Lambeau and it’s supposed to be very cold and very windy. Still, the Giants think a great deal of themselves. ESPN radio picked the Giants to win and All-Pro defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul guaranteed a victory: ”We are very confident,” Pierre-Paul said following the Atlanta game. “Last time [the Packers] came in here and they beat us, which they shouldn’t have, and we are just going to go out there and play some great football. It’s going to be cold and the atmosphere will be theirs, but we’re going to be ready to play.” Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers is rested and ready and he’s demolished the Giants in their last two meetings, putting up 776 passing yards against them. The Packers also know that New York is going to run Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs at them all day long. Still, despite the Giants swagger — and their running game — it’s hard not to like Green Bay.

DR. FOOTBALL: PACKERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

THE COACH: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER 

It’s Wild Card Weekend and There is Always a Surprise… Well, Maybe.

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Matt Stafford

It’s Post-Season Time in the NFL and around here, everyone is stoked. You got your Arian Foster and Ben Tate up against Chris Johnson, you have your Matt Stafford pitching against God’s Saints and you have Michael Turner rushing against a Giants defense that can be beaten on the ground.

This is a bigger holiday than Christmas.

Last weekend, the playoffs were set and Green Bay (with homefield advantage throughout in the NFC)  and San Francisco have the first-round byes in the NFC while New England (with homefield in the AFC) and Baltimore have the first-round byes in the AFC. It’s time to fire the first salvo leading up to Indianapolis in early February.

And this is what the schedule will look like this coming Wild Card Weekend: It starts Saturday at 3:30 with Cincinnati at Houston in an AFC showdown and then at 7 p.m. it’s Detroit at New Orleans in an NFC match-up. On Sunday, it’s Atlanta at the New York Giants in the NFC game at Noon and then Pittsburgh, who will be playing without runningback Rashard Mendenhall, will be at Denver in the AFC game at 3:30.

There is plenty to say about all of this, but when you’re going to Vegas or buying Sport Select tickets here in Canada, who cares? You want to get to The Doc’s picks and start making some dough.

Last week the Doc was 12-4 (168-88) straight up and 10-6 (145-111) against the spread. Coach was 11-5 straight up (172-84) and 9-7 (140-116) against the spread.

As always, the Doc writes the reasons and The Coach just sits back and criticizes.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

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T.J. Yates

Cincinnati Bengals (9-7) at Houston Texans (10-6)
Line: Texans by 3

Houston could really use QB Matt Schaub right now, but the key to this game will be Texans running game and Arian Foster. He will make enough first downs on the ground to keep the Texans in control of the clock. The Bengals offense has been quite explosive at times this year, but Houston’s defense is in the top three at preventing third down conversions. The Bengals have been able to knock off some good teams this year, but this is the end of the line.

DR FOOTBALL: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER 

SATURDAY NIGHT

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Drew Brees

Detroit Lions (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (13-3)
Line: Saints by 10.5

The Saints look to be one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They won their final 8 games of the season, and they also finished the year unbeaten at home, one of only three teams to do so. Drew Brees had one of the best seasons for a quarterback ever, and he’ll be looking to continue his hot streak. Matt Stafford and company can put up their own big numbers, and they have the defensive front to pressure Brees. The Saints will win, but it will be close. (Coach sez: I love the Lions like a man loves his dog, but I just don’t think that defense is ready yet. Matt Flynn — yeah, Matt Flynn — tore it up last week. Imagine what Drew Brees will do.)

DR FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER 

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

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Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons (10-6) at New York Giants (9-7)
Line: Giants by 3

Can the Falcons pull off a win outside of their dome? The Giants are absolutely ready for the playoffs, looking similar to the 2007 Giants team that won the Super Bowl.

The Giants won their final two games of the season to win the NFC East, and the Falcons clawed their way back into the playoffs after a slow start, and simply couldn’t overtake New Orleans in their own division. Peyton’s little brother is on a role, while Matt Ryan still has to prove himself in the playoffs. He won’t in this one. (Coach sez: Matty Ice will rip the Giants defensive secondary to shreds).

DR. FOOTBALL: GIANTS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: FALCONS TO WIN. 

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Ben Roethlisberger

Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4) at Denver Broncos (8-8)
Line: Steelers by 9.
 

It’s not often you see a road team favoured by more than a touchdown in the playoffs, but that’s what you get in this one thanks to the goofy NFL playoff system. The home team, the Broncos, have looked horrible in their last three games, and one has to wonder if Tim Tebow has any magic left? If Denver’s defense gets back to dominating like they were for that 6 game winning streak, then the Broncos have a shot. The Broncos defense should have no problem stopping the Steelers run game as Rashard Mendenhall is out. In addition, Big Ben is far from 100 percent as his ankle is not fully healed. But I’d take a one legged Roethlisberger over Mr. Tebow any day.

DR. FOOTBALL: STEELERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

THE COACH: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER 

The Final Week: Seven Teams Still Chasing Three Playoff Spots

We get to make big money one more time. It’s Week 17 in the NFL, the final week of the 2011 regular season and it could be the most exciting week of the season.

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Matt Stafford gets Lions Into Playoffs for first time this Century.

With one week to play, only nine of 12 teams have secured spots in the post-season.

Last weekend, Detroit and Atlanta clinched playoff spots – the Lions for the first time in this Century – and that means five teams in the NFC have punched their tickets to the post-season – Green Bay, which clinched homefield advantage throughout the playoffs, New Orleans, which clinched the NFC South last Monday night, and NFC West champion San Francisco (both 12-3 and battling for the No. 2 seed) and Wild Cards Detroit and Atlanta.

This week, the winner of the Dallas at New York Giants game will win the NFC East and clinch the final spot in the Conference.

In the AFC, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Houston and New England have clinched playoff spots while five teams still have a shot at a post-season berth.

That means there is a chance for some tremendous games this week. Besides the Sunday Nighter between the Giants and Dallas in New York, the big games with playoff implications — all in the AFC —  include the Jets at Miami, Kansas City at Denver, Baltimore at Cincinnati, Tennessee at Houston and San Diego at Oakland.

Last week the Doc went 14-2 (156-83) and was 13-3 (134-105) against the spread. The Coach went 12-4 (161-78) straight up and 8-8 (131-108) against the spread.

This week, The Doc writes our rationalizations while The Coach makes smart-ass remarks.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

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Rex Grossman Going Nowhere

Washington Redskins (5-10) at Philadelphia Eagles (7-8)
              Line: Eagles by 8.5

A disappointing season for both teams comes to an end in this one. The Eagles will have another great game offensively as the Redskins defense doesn’t have the all-around talent to stop them. Expect Philly to utilize LeSean McCoy a ton, and this will spell an Eagles victory. (Coach sez: If you can figure out the Redskins, you’re a better man than I. It’s a box of chocolates football team that shows up one week and stays home the next. Of course, Rex Grossman is the quarterback. Who knows what he’s going to do? This team is coach Mike Shanahan’s Waterloo.)

DR FOOTBALL: EAGLES TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

THE COACH: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER

San Francisco 49ers (12-3) at St. Louis Rams (2-13)
                         Line: 49ers by 10.5

With or without Sam Bradford, the Rams are doomed. Who would want to win and jeopardize the Number 1 draft pick?

DR FOOTBALL: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER

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Joe Webb: If he plays, the Vikings win.

Chicago Bears (7-8) at Minnesota Vikings (3-12) Line: Vikings by 1 

What looked like an exciting New Year’s Day game in September is in reality, a dud. Both teams are finishing the season with this one, and both teams are missing their starting running backs. Chicago put in QB Josh McCown last week, and he played much better than Caleb Hanie ever has. Expect McCown to get the start this week, and his first win. (Coach sez: the Insane Clown Posse that runs the Vikings keeps saying Christian Ponder “could be ready to go this week.” That’s just nuts. Joe Webb has proven he’s the quarterback of now and the future and yet the bat-shit crazies who run this football team keep talking about Ponder. Loonie).

DR FOOTBALL: BEARS TO WIN

THE COACH: VIKINGS TO WIN AND COVER (if Webb plays). 

Detroit Lions (10-5) at Green Bay Packers (14-1)
                               Line: Lions by 3.5

Both teams have locked up playoff spots, the Lions however, are playing for the number five seed, and depending on how post-season plays out, could give them home-field advantage at some point. The Packers have home field advantage throughout the playoffs regardless and since they aren’t playing for a perfect season, expect to see most of the starters on the bench. The Lions have more to play for.

DR FOOTBALL: LIONS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

THE COACH: PACKERS TO WIN.

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NFC Rookie of the Year Cam Newton

Carolina Panthers (6-9) at New Orleans Saints (12-3)
                     Line: Saints by 8.5

Drew Brees will be adding to his “most passing yards in a single season” record this week as the Saints will be playing for the number two seed in the playoffs. The Saints offense is going to dominate this game as the Panthers defense does not have enough to stop them. (Coach sez: True, the Saints are clearly the better team, but this will be a game in which Cam Newton announces his presence with authority. Don’t be surprised if Newton throws for 350 yards and four touchdowns and yet the Saints still cover. What’s that tell you about the Panthers defence and Drew Brees? Of course, there is a chance Drew Brees doesn’t play much this week and that means Carolina could win the football game.)

DR FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER (if Brees plays).

Tennessee Titans (8-7) at Houston Texans (10-5)
                             Line: Titans by 3

The Texans are in the playoffs and regardless of a win, their seed won’t change. Expect them to rest their starters to keep them healthy.

DR FOOTBALL: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER

Indianapolis Colts (2-13) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-11)
                   Line: Jaguars by 3.5

The Colts won’t be able to stop Maurice Jones-Drew and will be picking number one in the 2012 NFL draft.

DR FOOTBALL: JAGUARS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: JAGUARS TO WIN AND COVER

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Matt Moore plays for his job.

New York Jets (8-7) at Miami Dolphins (5-10)                              
Line: Dolphins by 1.5

The Jets are a team in desperate need of a win, and Miami is the last place the Jets want to be this week. The Dolphins have nothing to lose in this game and will be attacking the Jets defensive secondary while and spreading out the playbook with their running game. Offensively, the Jets, specifically QB Mark Sanchez is going to struggle against Dolphins defense that knows how to put pressure on a QB.

DR FOOTBALL: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER 

Buffalo Bills (6-9) at New England Patriots (12-3)                           
Line: Patriots by 11 

A win for the Pats and they get home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. The first time these two teams played each other, the Bills won in overtime. This time, New England have huge momentum and incentive and Tom Brady won’t make the same mistakes he made last time these two teams met.

DR FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11) at Atlanta Falcons (9-6)
                    Line: Falcons by 12

Atlanta will be playing for playoff positioning, so they will have their starters on the field. The Bucs are going want to play spoiler, but expect Falcons QB Matt Ryan to shake of Monday’s loss and put a lot of points on the board.

DR FOOTBALL: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

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Andy Dalton: Ginger Power

Baltimore Ravens (11-4) at Cincinnati Bengals (9-6)
 Line: Ravens by 2.5

Big game for both teams. The Ravens have already clinched a playoff spot, but with a win could clinch the number two seed which would mean a first-round bye and at least one home game in the playoffs. For the Bengals, it’s win or no playoffs. The key to this game for the Ravens is QB Joe Flacco to give the ball as many times as he can to RB Ray Rice which will wear the Bengals defense down. This game will be a close one.

DR FOOTBALL: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: BENGALS TO WIN 

Pittsburgh Steelers (11-4) at Cleveland Browns (4-11)
                     Line: Steelers by 7.5

The Steelers are playing for a first-round bye (with a win and a Ravens loss) so they will have their starters on the field. With or without Big Ben, Pittsburgh is a way better team than the Browns. Dog pounded!

DR FOOTBALL: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: BROWNS TO WIN 

San Diego Chargers (7-8) at Oakland Raiders (8-7)
                          Line: Raiders by 3

Oakland needs a win to get into the playoffs, San Diego was eliminated last week. The silver and black will make their former owner Al Davis proud as they win and make the playoffs this year.

DR FOOTBALL: RAIDERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: RAIDERS TO WIN AND COVER

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Tim Tebow: This is it.

Kansas City Chiefs (6-9) at Denver Broncos (8-7) Line: Broncos by 3

Denver needs a win to make the playoffs, the game means nothing to the Chiefs except pride and wanting to knock out a division foe out of the past season. The Broncos defense is going to enable Tim Tebow to prevail late in the fourth quarter to continue his fairy tale season.

DR FOOTBALL: BRONCOS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: BRONCOS TO WIN AND COVER 

Seattle Seahawks (7-8) at Arizona Cardinals (7-8)
                            Line: Cardinals by 3

Neither team has a chance at the playoffs and are playing their last game this season. Watch for Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch to have a huge day running the ball. This will be the reason for Seattle to finish 8-8 this season.

DR FOOTBALL: SEAHAWKS TO WIN

 THE COACH: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER

SUNDAY NIGHT

romo 187x300 The Final Week: Seven Teams Still Chasing Three Playoff Spots

Tony Romo

Dallas Cowboys (8-7) at New York Giants (8-7) 
Line: Giants by 3

There couldn’t be a more perfect end to the 2011 regular season and on Sunday Night Football no less. This game means one thing to both teams. Win and you are in. Lose and you are done. As I said last week against the Jets, go with the QB who is has proven he can win the big one. Eli Manning. (Coach sez: This might be the culmination of everything Tony Romo is. He will either emerge from this game as a guy who is considered “a million dollar arm with a 10 cent brain,” or a winner. For Romo’s career, this one game is absolutely huge. As for Eli Manning, he’s in a position to get back to the playoffs with a team that isn’t that good.)

DR FOOTBALL: GIANTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: GIANTS TO WIN AND COVER

Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

OK, we’ll just forget last week’s semi-disaster. You can’t pick ‘em all right, although obviously a lot of people have gone 16-0 in Sport Select’s Pools lottery this season  (and yes, it’s a lottery).

Romeo Crennel Gatorade Bath SSP15 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Romeo Crennel Enjoys the Chiefs Win Over Green Bay

Last week, the Green Bay Packers lost, the Indianapolis Colts won, Carolina went into Houston and whipped the Texans, Washington went into New Jersey and massacred the Giants and the San Francisco 49ers taught the Pittsburgh Steelers a lesson.

But that was then, this is now. It’s Week 16 in the NFL and it starts Thursday night with Houston at Indianapolis. Then there are 13 games on Saturday, including some good ones: Miami at New England, Denver at Buffalo, Oakland at Kansas City, the Giants at the Jets, San Diego at Detroit where the Lions can clinch a playoff berth, Philadelphia at Dallas and San Francisco at Seattle.

108293967 display image1 222x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Does Caleb Hanie Have a Sunday Night Miracle in Him?

There is one game Sunday night as Chicago plays at Green Bay and one game on Monday as Atlanta plays at New Orleans in what could be the biggest game of the week. It’s time for a bit of redemption before we head into the playoffs.

With two weeks to go in the season, there are seven teams already bound for the playoffs: New England, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Houston in the AFC and Green Bay, New Orleans and San Francisco in the NFC.

Last week the Doc was 10-6 (142-81) and 11-5 (121-102) against the spread. The Coach went 9-7 straight up (149-74) and 9-7 against the spread (123-100). It wasn’t great, but it got better as the weekend went on.

As always, Dr. Football writes our briefs while I wear my briefs and take shots at his picks.

THURSDAY NIGHT

Houston Texans (10-4) at Indianapolis Colts (1-13)
Line: Texans by 6

Can the Colts mess up getting Andrew Luck by winning again? I can’t see that happening. I see the Texans shaking off last week with a home victory.

DR FOOTBALL: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER 

SATURDAY AFTERNOON

Kyle+Orton+Kansas+City+Chiefs+v+Chicago+Bears+kL RSegeSQSl 212x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Kyle Orton, last week's big winner.

Oakland Raiders (7-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-8)
Line: Chiefs by 2

The Chiefs, in their first game under interim coach Romeo Crennel, shockingly defeated the previously undefeated Packers last week in a performance that can be described as dominant. And many times you see strong performances in the first game of an interim coach’s tenure but often that emotion does not last, and I think it runs out on Saturday.

DR FOOTBALL: RAIDERS TO WIN.

THE COACH: CHIEFS TO WIN AND COVER 

Denver Broncos (8-6) at Buffalo Bills (5-9)
Line: Broncos by 3

The Bills are currently on a 7 game losing streak while the Broncos currently have a 1 game lead in the AFC West race.  A victory on Saturday would eliminate the Chiefs and put pressure on the Chargers and Raiders to win or be eliminated.  Insert your own tasteless Tim Tebow/Jesus/Christmas joke here…but what isn’t a joke is that Denver will win this one.

DR FOOTBALL: BRONCOS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: BRONCOS TO WIN AND COVER.

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10) at Tennessee Titans (7-7)
Line: Titans by 7

You wouldn’t know it from last week’s debacle, but the Titans are a much better team than the Jaguars and are still in the playoff race. As poor as they played last week, I can’t see that happening again in front of their own fans.

DR FOOTBALL: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER.

Larry+Fitzgerald+Cleveland+Browns+v+Arizona+LhcB32sW2SAl 210x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Larry Fitzgerald

Arizona Cardinals (7-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-6)
Line: Bengals by 4

Both teams are battling for the last Wild Card spot in their conferences.  A victory is needed for the Cards or else they are eliminated, if the Bengals lose they still could get a playoff spot but would need the Jets to lose.  Both teams are evenly matched so I’ll go with the home team. (Coach sez: The Bengals will win this one if they shut down Larry Fitzgerald. And as the Cleveland Browns found out last week, it’s not as easy as it sounds.)

DR FOOTBALL: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER.

Miami Dolphins (5-9) at New England Patriots (11-3)
Line: Patriots by 9.5

This is my “game of the week”. New England is on a six game winning streak while the Dolphins have won five of their past seven games. Miami proved they can win in the cold/snow with last week’s victory over the Bills, but the Patriots are not the Bills. The Dolphins do not have the bodies in their secondary to match against the Patriots, and I expect Tom Brady to have another game like he had in Week one when he torched the Fish for 517 yards and 4 touchdowns. Miami’s offense has drastically improved since then, but Matt Moore is no Tom Brady. The game will be closer than Week 1, but the same team will win.

DR FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER. 

Peyton+Hillis+Cleveland+Browns+v+Pittsburgh+NPZdita94WKl 300x200 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Colt McCoy's Only Hope: Handing it to Peyton Hillis.

Cleveland Browns (4-10) at Baltimore Ravens (10-4)
Line: Ravens by 13

There is no love lost between the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens. As time passes, many may forget that Art Modell took the Browns to Baltimore, but the Browns never forget. I just don’t get this year’s Ravens squad. At times they look like the top club in the AFC, at others they look like the worst. Joe Flacco has been very erratic in 2011 thus far and the offense has to rely on Ray Rice, which will be this week’s key to success.

DR FOOTBALL: RAVENS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

THE COACH: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

Plaxico+Burress+Kansas+City+Chiefs+v+New+York+Wd7L6vA vmml 200x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Plaxico Burress

New York Giants (7-7) at New York Jets (8-6)
Line: Jets by 3

No game this week in the NFL may be more important than this one, the “Jersey Bowl”. The Jets need the win to solidify their position for a wild card slot in the AFC while the Giants need the win to solidify their lead in the NFC East over the Cowboys. Both teams have struggled on defense this year, but look for Eli Manning to be the difference in this one, he knows how to win the big one.

DR FOOTBALL: GIANTS TO WIN.

THE COACH: GIANTS TO WIN.

Minnesota Vikings (2-12) at Washington Redskins (5-9)
Line: Redskins by 6.5

The Redskins victory over the Giants last week was probably more a result of the Giants falling asleep and just playing poorly. I’m feeling the Vikings here to get a nice win as they try to put the close on a horrible season. (Coach sez: Until Leslie Frazier decides to go with Joe Webb as his starting quarterback, he will continue to lose. Christian Ponder is a fraud. Webb is the future of the team but he won’t be and until the Vikings come to their senses, they will continue to be big losers).

DR FOOTBALL: VIKINGS TO WIN

THE COACH: REDSKINS TO WIN AND COVER.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10) at Carolina Panthers (5-9)
Line: Panthers by 7.5

Carolina’s defense really stepped up against the Texans run game last week, and this week they will have no problem putting the pressure on Bucs QB Josh Freeman, but may struggle a bit shutting down RB LeGarrette Blount. Even with a bit of struggling against Blount, the Bucs defense won’t be able to keep up with Panthers QB Cam Newton.

DR FOOTBALL: PANTHERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

THE COACH: PANTHERS TO WIN AND COVER.

Sam+Bradford+St+Louis+Rams+v+Seattle+Seahawks+xVXvSYxH1WFl 200x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Sam Bradford

St. Louis Rams (2-12) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4)
Line: Steelers by 14.5

This is a Christmas gift to the Steelers from the football gods. Pittsburgh could play 63 year old Terry Bradshaw at QB and win this one. How do the Rams even have 2 wins? (Coach sez: The only reason the Steelers won’t cover is if they don’t score enough points. Which is worth being concerned about).

DR FOOTBALL: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: STEELERS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

San Diego Chargers (7-7) at Detroit Lions (9-5)
Line: Lions by 2.5

The Lions really need this victory with being only a win away from the playoffs and they don’t want to have to go into Lambeau on New Year’s Day needing to win. The Chargers have thrust themselves into the wild AFC West race and need a victory to have a chance. But I think the Lions really saved their season with that come from behind win against the Raiders last week and I think that win will give them the momentum they need.

DR FOOTBALL: LIONS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: LIONS TO WIN AND COVER.

San Francisco 49ers (11-3) at Seattle Seahawks (7-7)
Line: 49ers by 2

The 49ers are playing for the #2 Seed in the NFC.  I think the fact the that they were able to shut down the Steelers so convincingly on Monday night they should have and problem doing the same in this one.

DR FOOTBALL: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

Lesean+Mccoy+New+York+Jets+v+Philadelphia+SaoOzh3cI Xl 212x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

LeSean McCoy

Philadelphia Eagles (6-8) at Dallas Cowboys (8-6)
Line: Cowboys by 1.5

Philly’s back on track with Michael Vick back at the helm and scoring a lot of points. This week, they face a Cowboys defense that dominates against the run. While Vick’s run game will be slowed down this week, this game will be a shoot-out, a game the Eagles are better at. (Coach sez: The Eagles have awakened and will massacre a Cowboys team that has failed miserably in recent weeks. LeSean McCoy will run wild this week. At least, when Michael Vick isn’t running wild. Eagles by two touchdowns in Dallas is not out of the question).

DR FOOTBALL: EAGLES TO WIN. 

THE COACH: EAGLES TO WIN.

CHRISTMAS NIGHT

Chicago Bears (7-7) at Green Bay Packers (13-1)
Line: Packers by 13.5

Now with the pressure of an undefeated season off their backs, the Pack can now they can concentrate on locking up home field throughout the playoffs. Injuries have turned Chicago into the Bad News Bears and they won’t even have the motivation of trying to stop 16-0.

DR FOOTBALL: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

MONDAY NIGHT

Drew+Brees+New+Orleans+Saints+v+Minnesota+t h YJfj9aYl 225x300 Two Weeks Left. Five Playoff Spots Still Open.

Drew Brees might be the NFC MVP.

Atlanta Falcons (9-5) at New Orleans Saints (11-3)
Line: Saints by 6.5

Is there anything better to watch than Drew Brees and his offense playing at home? Didn’t think so. The Falcons are no push over, but I believe we will be seeing either the Packers or the Saints in the Super Bowl in February, and the Falcons aren’t gonna stand in the way of the Saints in this one.

DR FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

It’s Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

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Matt Ryan

This week’s Thursday night NFL affair wasn’t even fair. Of course, pretty much everyone expected that outcome.

The Atlanta Falcons built a 27-0 lead at the half and coasted to a 41-14 win over the gawd-awful Jacksonville Jaguars. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan threw three touchdown passes and the Falcons improved to 9-5.

No surprise there, but it’s nice to go to 1-0 both straight up anad against the spread to start the week.

It is Week 15 in the NFL and I must say, when it comes to National Football League prognostications, we have been pretty spectacular this season. Last week the Doc went 12-4 (132-75) straight up and 8-8 (110-97) against the spread. The Coach went 12-4 straight up (140-67) and 9-7 against the spread (114-93). If you’ve been picking with us all season, you’ve been a big winner both in Vegas and on Sport Select.

Once again The Doc writes our rationalizations and The Coach just makes the occasional snide comment.

SATURDAY NIGHT

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Tony Romo

Dallas Cowboys (7-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-9)
Line: Cowboys by 6.5

Yay! The first Saturday game of this season, and it features the Cowboys who have suffered two straight losses in the final seconds of both games. This week, their defense faces a Buc’s offense that has struggled all season; QB Josh Freeman has been inconsistent and has nowhere near the level most thought he would in this his sophomore season. The Cowboys defense is going to control this game, giving Tony Romo and Co. plenty of opportunities to score, and they will as they smell a wildcard spot.

DR FOOTBALL: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Washington Redskins (4-9) at New York Giants (7-6)
Line: Giants by 7

Eli Manning’s performance against the Cowboys last week was awesome. This week, the Giants face another tough defensive line, but with their running game and Eli’s aerial attack, the Redskins won’t be able to stop the Giants from outscoring them.

DR FOOTBALL: GIANTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: GIANTS TO WIN AND COVER.

James Jones 200x300 Its Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

James Jones

Green Bay Packers (13-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-8)
Line: Packers by 14

Sunday marks the 364 day anniversary of the Packers’ last loss, a 31-27 loss to the Patriots.  The Packers have since won 19 straight games, the second longest win streak including postseason games in league history behind the 2003-04 Patriots winners of 21 consecutive games. Enough history. The Pack will be without wide receiver Greg Jennings, but don’t expect that to limit Aaron Rodgers and the offense. The post-Todd Haley era in Kansas City will begin with Kyle Orton starting opposite Rodgers, assuming Orton’s injured finger has healed. If Orton can’t play, rookie Ricky Stanzi will start. Like it matters.

DR FOOTBALL: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

New Orleans Saints (10-3) at Minnesota Vikings (2-11) 

Line: Saints by 7

Christmas comes early for the Saints as their boy, Drew Brees gets to do his thing in a Dome away from Dome. Sure, Jared Allen might provide a little pressure once in a while, but the rest of the time Brees will be picking apart an awful Vikings secondary.

DR FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER. 

Seattle Seahawks (6-7) at Chicago Bears (7-6)
Line: Bears by 4

The Seahawks have won four of their last five. The Bears have lost three in a row, and have scored just one touchdown in their last two games. Soldier Field won’t be a factor in this one as the Bears are done for the year.

DR FOOTBALL: SEAHAWKS TO WIN

THE COACH: BEARS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

ryan fitzpatrick bills 300x209 Its Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Miami Dolphins (4-9) at Buffalo Bills (5-8)
Line: Bills by 1.5

Miami’s defense is going to be the dominate force in this game as Buffalo won’t have much time to pass, and their run game will be successful but it won’t be enough to put up more points. The Dolphins could be without QB Matt Moore and while their offense may struggle initially, I believe that they have enough to beat these sad sack Bills. (Coach sez: The Bills will win one last game at home).

DR FOOTBALL: DOLPHINS TO WIN

THE COACH: BILLS TO WIN AND COVER.

Carolina Panthers (4-9) at Houston Texans (10-3)
Line: Texans by 6.5

T.J. Yates beating Cincinnati in the final seconds on the road was a pretty big deal in only his second start even with Arian Foster struggling. Now they face the Panthers who have to travel off a tough loss. The Texans realize the urgency of every game as they can still get home field in the AFC. Gary Kubiak for Coach of the year?

DR FOOTBALL: TEXANS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

THE COACH: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER.

chris johnson 203 275x300 Its Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

Chris Johnson

Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Indianapolis Colts (0-13)
Line: Titans by 7

Tennessee will have second-string QB Jake Locker at the helm; he looked good last week, in relief of Hasselbeck, against a tough Saints defense. This week he will be able to settle in to his role as he faces a very tired Colts defense whose level of play continues to decline. How can you blame them, when their offense does nothing to maintain possession of the ball?

DR FOOTBALL: TITANS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

THE COACH: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER.

Cincinnati Bengals (7-6) at St. Louis Rams (2-11)
Line: Bengals by 6.

Cincinnati has taken a nose dive in the playoff race, but they get a bit of a breather and a chance to get back to basics against a suspect and banged up Rams front. The Steven Jackson is the only bright spot for the hopeless Rams…he’s gotta be talking to his agent about going someplace else. The Bengals get it done on the road.

DR FOOTBALL: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH:  BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER.

Ndamukong+Suh+Washington+Redskins+v+Detroit+FElOvKJIyUIl 200x300 Its Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

Ndamukong Suh Back to Stomp the Raiders

Detroit Lions (8-5) at Oakland Raiders (7-6)
Line: Lions by 1

It’s kind of funny that this game features a team that’s known as undisciplined, while racking up penalties and cheap shots, and yet it’s not the Raiders. This will be a tough road game for Matthew Stafford against a fired-up Oakland pass rush. Offensively, Oakland knows that they need to get Michael Bush going again to take pressure off Carson Palmer and with the distraction caused by the return of Ndamukong Suh, Oakland will sneak out a close win. (Coach sez: Maybe. But it’s more likely that the Lions, who play pretty well on the road against mediocre AFC West clubs, will win quite easily. And the only “distraction” will be the media’s distraction. Squirrel!).

DR FOOTBALL: RAIDERS TO WIN.

THE COACH: LIONS TO WIN AND COVER.

New England Patriots (10-3) at Denver Broncos (8-5)
Line: Patriots by 6

Interesting matchup. Last week the Patriots jumped to a big lead early, and couldn’t hold the spread only winning by 7. As efficient as their offense is, their defense is just as inefficient. Denver always starts slow, and if you don’t put Tim Tebow behind by at least 20 points in the 4th quarter, a comeback is within his range (Coach sez: Love Tim Tebow, but this week Denver has to play against a legitimate Super Bowl contender. It won’t be pretty).

DR FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

Michael Vick 234x300 Its Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

Michael Vick

New York Jets (8-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-8)
Line: Eagles by 3

Michael Vick is back, but that’s not a big deal. Philly’s defense is going to pressure Jets QB Mark Sanchez into several turnovers. This will give the Eagles offense ample opportunity to run up the score. The Jets secondary, will be able to keep up with the receivers but they won’t be able to maintain Vick and the Eagles running game (Coach sez: Jets must win. We’ll find out this week if they will be a force in the post-season or not).

DR FOOTBALL: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: JETS TO WIN.

Cleveland Browns (4-9) at Arizona Cardinals (6-7)
Line: Cardinals by 7

Arizona is coming off a huge win against the 49ers last week and offensively, the Cardinals have too much talent in Larry Fitzgerald, Beanie Wells and Early Doucet for the Browns to keep up. With QB Colt McCoy still questionable to play this week, and even if he was able to play, they just can’t score at all.

DR FOOTBALL: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: CARDINALS TO WIN AND COVER.

SUNDAY NIGHT

ray rice 511 200x300 Its Week 15. We like the Cowboys, Packers, Texans and Steelers. Yeah, I know. Quite a limb.

Ray Rice

Baltimore Ravens (10-3) at San Diego Chargers (6-7)
Line: Ravens by 2.5

Are the Chargers shooting for a big finish? Aside from a fumble in the 3rd Quarter, Philip Rivers had another good game against Buffalo last week. They may have waited too long to come to life, but this is the team that was expected by so many before the season. Baltimore will have trouble moving the ball through the air, and if San Diego can slow down Ray Rice early then they have a huge chance. Expect an upset. (Coach sez: It’s also December, and Rivers wins in December).

DR FOOTBALL: CHARGERS TO WIN

 THE COACH: CHARGERS TO WIN.

MONDAY NIGHT

Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3) at San Francisco 49ers (10-3)
Line: Steelers by 1.5

No James Harrison, and possibly a hobbled Ben Roethlisberger, will make it difficult for the Steelers — but certainly not impossible. It’s a good thing they’ve had a good rest — they last played against Cleveland back on Thursday night, 11 days ago. San Francisco is severely limited in the passing game, but they’ve been getting by keeping it simple on the ground and playing solid defense. However, that ground game has been less effective lately and they face another powerful team that can knock them off their game early.

DR FOOTBALL: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER.

We Like Falcons and Cowboys in Week 15′s Early Games

TAMPA — It’s Week 15 in the NFL and its starts Thursday night with Jacksonville at Atlanta. No doubt, we like the Falcons all around in this one.

On Saturday, Dallas plays at Tampa and it’s pretty hard to take the Bucs, even though Dallas has had its problems in recent weeks.

Will Michael Vick repeat in 2011 300x211 We Like Falcons and Cowboys in Week 15s Early Games

Michael Vick

There are 13 games on Sunday including Carolina at Houston; undefeated Green Bay at Kansas City; Detroit at Oakland; New England at Denver; the Jets at Philadelphia (Michael Vick says he will play this week) and Baltimore at San Diego.

We’ll keep it short today. Just the first two games on the slate. Dr. Football wanted to be sure which injured players were playing, which were sitting and which should be sitting because they are really banged up. So we’ll hold the bulk of this week’s picks until Saturday.

Last week the Doc went 12-4 (132-75) and 8-8 (110-97) against the spread. The Coach went 12-4 straight up (140-67) and 9-7 against the spread (114-93).

Once again the Doc writes our reasons why and I’ll occasionally pop in with a do or die.

THURSDAY NIGHT

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Matt Ryan

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9) at Atlanta Falcons (8-5)
Line: Falcons by 11

The Falcons’ comeback victory in Carolina last week puts them in a more comfortable position for the playoffs, regardless of what happens next week at New Orleans. To get past the Jags, the Falcons will have to contain Maurice Jones-Drew, who was absolutely sensational last week,  and unleashing their own power runner, Michael Turner. The Falcons have been good against the run, and that will put Jags rookie QB Blaine Gabbert will be like a deer in the headlights in a noisy dome.

DR FOOTBALL: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

SATURDAY NIGHT

Josh+Freeman+Tampa+Bay+Buccaneers+v+Arizona+0xStxISInvjl 207x300 We Like Falcons and Cowboys in Week 15s Early Games

Josh Freeman

Dallas Cowboys (7-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-9)
Line: Cowboys by 6.5

Yay! The first Saturday game of this season, and it features the Cowboys who have suffered two straight losses in the final seconds of both games. This week, their defense faces a Buc’s offense that has struggled all season; QB Josh Freeman has been inconsistent and has nowhere near the level most thought he would in this his sophomore season. The Cowboys defense is going to control this game, giving Tony Romo plenty of opportunities to score, and they will as they smell a wildcard spot.

DR FOOTBALL: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER

Dull Week Despite Plenty at Stake.

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Ben Roethlisberger

It’s an odd Week 14 in the National Football League. There are a load of teams that are going to win for fun. It’s getting close to the playoffs and yet there aren’t many games that really get a fan’s crank turning.

Week 14  opens tonight as the Cleveland Browns head to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers at Heinz Field. Y-a-a-w-w-w-n.

There are 14 games on Sunday including Houston at Cincinnati, Atlanta at Carolina, New England at Washington, New Orleans at Tennessee, Chicago at Denver, Oakland at Green Bay and the Giants at Dallas on Sunday Night Football. That’s not bad, in a couple of cases, but for the most part, it’s a dull one.

Aaron+Rodgers+Green+Bay+Packers+v+Detroit+e1Rv1qty83Dl 266x300 Dull Week Despite Plenty at Stake.

Aaron Rodgers

Especially after 10-2 San Francisco and 12-0 Green Bay clinched playoff berths last week. Somehow, this week, there are more Pittsburgh-Cleveland mismatches than Houston-Cincinnati barnburners.

Regardless, that doesn’t mean Dr. Football and The Coach aren’t going to wager their hard-earned currency on each and every one of this week’s matchups. To the contrary, let the games begin.

Last week The Doc went 10-6 straight up (120-71) and 8-8 (102-89) against the spread. The Coach went 11-5 straight up (128-63) and 10-6 (105-86) against the spread.

Once against, The  Doc writes our justifications and The Coach reserves the right to yell “Bulls&!#!!”

THURSDAY NIGHT

Colt+Mccoy+Baltimore+Ravens+v+Cleveland+Browns+5ayzJHaTIYql 200x300 Dull Week Despite Plenty at Stake.

Colt McCoy

Cleveland Browns (4-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3) 


Line: Steelers by 14

The Steelers are going to dominate this game offensively and defensively. The Browns are out-matched on talent in almost every aspect of this game. At least this game presents a marquee matchup of great athletes, with Browns cornerback Joe Haden battling Steelers wide receiver Mike Wallace all night. Frankly, Wallace should eat Haden alive. Because it might be tough to get the ball to Wallace deep, Big Ben Roethlisberger will use his running game and Rashard Mendenhall. Last week the Browns’ front seven just got steamrolled by Baltimore’s Ray Rice and Ricky Williams…expect more of the same.

DR FOOTBALL: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Indianapolis Colts (0-12) at Baltimore Ravens (9-3) 


Line: Ravens by 16.5

This has to be a tough spot for the Colts. Even though they hung in to the end last week against the Patriots, they still came up short. Now, on the verge of becoming one of the worst teams in history, they get to play in Baltimore of all places. I bet Indy wishes they could sneak out of town on Sunday…

DR. FOOTBALL: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: RAVENS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

Andy+Dalton+Cincinnati+Bengals+v+Tennessee+GzVyEViCVixl 214x300 Dull Week Despite Plenty at Stake.

Andy Dalton

Houston Texans (9-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) 


Line: Bengals by 3

The Bengals announced on Tuesday that the game will not be aired locally. It is the ninth blackout in the last 10 home games and the fifth in six home games this season. Quite simply the fans have given up. What really needs to be addressed is how they can be favourites, as the Texans have shown they can win as they did last Sunday against the Falcons with their third string QB T.J. Yates. Through two games, Yates has been impressive but not flashy. He was 12 of 25 for 188 yards and a touchdown in a 17-10 win on Sunday, his first career start. The Texans will do it again. (Coach sez: This is the end of the T.J. Yates Era).

DR FOOTBALL: TEXANS TO WIN

THE COACH: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER

Kansas City Chiefs (5-7) at New York Jets (7-5)
Line: Jets by 9

It won’t take much offense for New York here. The Jets’ defense should come up with multiple sacks and turnovers at home, setting up good things for a revitalized running game. Tyler Palko won’t know what hit him.

DR FOOTBALL: JETS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: JETS TO WIN AND COVER

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Matthew Stafford

Minnesota Vikings (2-10) at Detroit Lions (7-5)
Line: Lions by 3.5

Detroit is a penalty-ridden mess. Lucky for them, the Vikings are more of a mess, especially if they don’t have RB Adrian Peterson in the lineup (Leslie Frazier expects Peterson to play). Either way, the Lions offense is going to win this game for them. The Vikings’ secondary is in shambles and won’t have a chance against Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson and the rest of the Lions’ passing game.

DR FOOTBALL: LIONS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: LIONS TO WIN AND COVER.

New Orleans Saints (9-3) at Tennessee Titans (7-5)
Line: Saints by 3.5

Consider this; the Titans pass defense gives up 233.5 yards. Drew Brees is on fire and is on pace to break Dan Marino’s single-season yardage record. No contest.

DR FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

Philadelphia Eagles (4-8) at Miami Dolphins (4-8)
Line: Dolphins by 3

The Eagles have lost four of their last five games. The Dolphins have won four of their last five. The Dolphins allowed 38 points and 622 yards on opening day in a loss to New England. Since then, they’re allowing just 16.5 points and 293 yards per game and have the fourth ranked defense in the league. Vick or no Vick, the Dolphins will continue on their road to redemption.

DR FOOTBALL: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

Wes+Welker+New+England+Patriots+v+Philadelphia+awJBFQ2ZPgcl Dull Week Despite Plenty at Stake.

Tom Brady and Wes Welker

New England Patriots (9-3) at Washington Redskins (4-8)
Line: Patriots by 7.5

Rex Grossman must be livid. He seemed to be getting a bit of traction, and now one of his targets TE Fred Davis has been suspended for puffing. Add to the fact his protection has just got a lot worse as left tackle Trent Williams is gonzo as well for…you guessed it…puffing. Tom Brady will have a big day as he exploits the Redskins’ defense with Wes Welker and Rob Gronkowski. Not for the faint of heart.

DR FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER 

Atlanta Falcons (8-4) at Carolina Panthers (4-8)
Line: Falcons by 3

Matt Ryan and the Falcons didn’t have an answer for the Texans’ defense in last week’s loss. Carolina is dead last versus the pass so look for the Falcons offense to kick in here.

DR FOOTBALL: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: PANTHERS TO WIN AND COVER.

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Josh Johnson

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-9)
Line: Bucs by 1

Two of the most disappointing teams in the NFL will be on display at one time in this one. The Bucs were supposed to be on the upswing after last season’s10-6 campaign. Josh Freeman was supposed to be the young, exciting, quarterback to lead the team into the future. The Jags have been a punch line all season. Who will win or who cares… (Coach sez: I don’t like either one of these teams, but I like Tampa Bay less than I like Jacksonville. The Buccaneers are an embarrassment.)

DR FOOTBALL: BUCS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: JAGUARS TO WIN.

San Francisco 49ers (10-2) at Arizona Cardinals (5-7)
Line: 49ers by 3.5

Last week the Rams didn’t even belong on the same field with Jim Harbaugh’s 49ers. The only reason the Cards won is because of a bonehead Cowboys coaching decision. Arizona will fold like…well…a house of cards (get it).

DR FOOTBALL: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

Chicago Bears (7-5) at Denver Broncos (7-5)
Line: Broncos by 3.5.

Once upon a time this was supposed to be a grudge match;  Jay Cutler vs. his former team. Instead, we get to watch the Bears as the next team to lose to Tim Tebow. Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs will be ready to chase down Tebow, but the Bears offense isn’t capable of putting up points without Cutler and running back Matt Forte.

DR FOOTBALL: BRONCOS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: BRONCOS TO WIN AND COVER.

Oakland Raiders (7-5) at Green Bay Packers (12-0)
Line: Packers by 11

With four games left in the regular season the Green Bay Packers are 75 percent of the way done with completing a perfect season. The Packers haven’t really been challenged and they have rarely trailed but no matter what the circumstances they have made it look relatively easy. The Giants may have given them a little scare last week, but expect the Raiders to be not scary at all.

DR FOOTBALL: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER

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Philip Rivers

Buffalo Bills (5-7) at San Diego Chargers (5-7)
Line: Chargers by 7

San Diego QB Philip Rivers has been looking better, over, the last two games and this will continue this week at home, especially against a Bills defense that doesn’t play well against the pass.

DR FOOTBALL: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER

SUNDAY NIGHT

New York Giants (6-6) at Dallas Cowboys (7-5)
Line: Cowboys by 3

The NFC East elimination process starts on Sunday night. After squandering an opportunity to extend their NFC East lead to two games, the Cowboys host a Giants team that have dropped four consecutive games including lasts weeks squeaker to fall to 6-6. The main problem for the Giants is their defense has disappeared. Tony Romo and pals will have a big day.

DR FOOTBALL: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER. 

THE COACH: GIANTS TO WIN.

MONDAY NIGHT

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Tarvaris Jackson

St. Louis Rams (2-10) at Seattle Seahawks (5-7)
Line: No Line

It becoming tougher to envision Rams head coach Steve Spagnuolo coming back in 2012. It is becoming even tougher to watch MNF with stinkers like this one. With another chance under the MNF lights, it will be Seahawks Marshawn Lynch’s time to shine once again. It doesn’t matter what the line is…

DR FOOTBALL: SEAHAWKS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SEAHAWKS TO WIN AND COVER

What’s Next in Jacksonville? Burn Down the Stadium?

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Jack Del Rio

Here’s how crazy it was in Jacksonville this week: Owner Wayne Weaver fired head coach Jack Del Rio and replaced him with defensive coach Mel Tucker.

Then, a few hours later Weaver announced he had sold the franchise to Shahid Khan from Chicago, a guy who made his fortune in auto parts. Whether or not Khan can fix all the problems in Jacksonville is anyone’s guess. One supposes he could move the team to L.A. or Toronto.

In the meantime, the moves in Jag-City didn’t end with the coach. The day after De Rio was fired, the Jags  fired wide receivers coach Johnny Cox and also shifted quarterbacks coach Mike Sheppard to wide receivers coach and offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter to quarterbacks coach. The team also waived starting wide receiver Jason Hill, evidently taking a step toward preparing for next season. Huh?

As Dr. Football said yesterday: “What’s next, burn down the building?” Well, ahh, maybe.

 

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Ndamukong Suh

With the Jags in mind, with Ndamukong Suh suspended and with half the quarterbacks in the NFL hurt, it’s time for our weekly picks. It’s Week 13 in the National Football League and it opens Thursday night with Philadelphia at Seattle. There are 14 games on Sunday including Oakland at Miami, Denver is in Minnesota, Cincinnati is at Pittsburgh, Atlanta plays at Houston, Green Bay, trying to go to 12-0, plays in New York against the Giants and on Sunday Night Football, Detroit is at New Orleans.

Last week the Doc went 13-3 (110-65) straight up and 11-5 (94-81) against the spread while The Coach went 13-3 (117-58) straight up and 10-6 (95-80) against the spread.

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Tarvaris Jackson

Philadelphia Eagles (4-7) at Seattle Seahawks (4-7)
Line: Eagles by 3

Philadelphia will be without Michael Vick at quarterback, as he lets his ribs heal. His replacement Vince Young threw for 400 yards last week against the Patriots, but he still has a passer rating of just 69.6. The Eagles need a big game from running back LeSean McCoy to make up for Young’s ineptness. DeSean Jackson’s mind is on his contract, he dropped two potential touchdowns last week. The Seahawks counter the Philadelphia firepower with a defense that gave up 314 yards passing to Washington’s Rex Grossman in its last game. Should be an easy Eagles win.

DR. FOOTBALL: EAGLES TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SEAHAWKS TO WIN.

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Stevie Johnson: Why So Serious?

Tennessee Titans (6-5)  at Buffalo Bills (5-6)
Line: Bills by 1.5

Both teams are fighting to get a postseason berth. The Bills’ offense is trying to make do without Fred Jackson, while the Titans’  Chris Johnson, has started to play up to his billing. Tennessee still has a chance to take the AFC South, and both Johnson and QB Matt Hasselbeck should be able to exploit Buffalo’s 28th-ranked scoring defense.

DR. FOOTBALL: TITANS TO WIN

THE COACH: BILLS TO WIN AND COVER.

Kansas City Chiefs (4-7) at Chicago Bears (7-4)
Line: Bears by 7

Cover your eyes as Tyler Palko battles Caleb Hanie.  What’s the over/under on how many programs they will sell as no one knows who those two are. The Chiefs might be better off playing Kyle Orton who the Bears know well. If that happens, Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs will help their teammates play off the tendencies of Orton, who no doubt will rusty in a new offense. The key here is for Hanie is to use Matt Forte and let the defense do the rest.

DR. FOOTBALL: BEARS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: BEARS TO WIN AND COVER.

 Whats Next in Jacksonville? Burn Down the Stadium?

The Raiders' Denarius Moore

Oakland Raiders (7-4) at Miami Dolphins (3-8)
Line: Dolphins by 3

The Raiders seem to have some pretty good chemistry going on on offense as QB Carson Palmer is succeeding in the air and on the ground. His biggest target in recent weeks has nee the talented but long-underused Denarius Moore and look for Moore to be a threat again this week. This is going to be the deciding factor in this game as the Raiders maintain possession and wear down the Dolphins defense. The Dolphins streak ends here. (Coach sez: Yeah right. The Dolphins are at home and Matt Moore has thrown the ball extremely well in recent weeks. The Dolphins looked good in Dallas and they can beat Oakland).

DR. FOOTBALL: RAIDERS TO WIN

THE COACH: DOLPHINS TO WIN AND COVER.

Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3)
Line: Steelers by 6.5.

Bengals QB Any Dalton has proven he can put points on the board and seems to be in a grove with A.J. Green and Jermaine Gresham.  It won’t be enough though because even though Big Ben didn’t so much against the Chiefs last week, he is very difficult to stop at home.

DR. FOOTBALL: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER.

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Former Bomber Mike Sellers of the Redskins got more snaps last week than he had during the rest of the season combined.

New York Jets (6-5) at Washington Redskins (4-7)
Line: Jets by 3

I’m pretty sure the Redskins win last week was more about the Seahawks self-destructing late in the fourth quarter. I’m also unsure of Rex Grossman’s ability to move the ball against the Jets defense. One  has to wonder how did Mark Sanchez as awful as he did, but still tossed four TD’s and beat the Bills last week?  The Jets do know how to win, which will be the difference.

DR. FOOTBALL: JETS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: JETS TO WIN AND COVER.

tj yates Whats Next in Jacksonville? Burn Down the Stadium?

T.J. Yates

Atlanta Falcons (7-4) at Houston Texans (8-3)
Line: Falcons by 3

Down to their number three QB T.J. Yates, the Texans will really rely on the their top ranked defense and running game.  But it won’t be enough.  Falcons are hitting their stride, and Yates will wish he was still a back up to a guy holding a clip board. T.J. Yates would probably be the only quarterback anywhere in the world who would be worried about losing his job to Jake Delhomme this week. I mean, there are semi-pro teams that would not have tried to sign Delhomme, who last destroyed the Cleveland Browns — while he was playing for them– in 2010. Delhomme is a turnover waiting to happen and yet he could play this week against Atlanta.

DR. FOOTBALL: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER.

Carolina Panthers (3-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7)
Line: Buccaneers by 3.5

It doesn’t matter how well Cam Newton will play, Carolina’s defensive line will struggle against Bucs RB LeGarrette Blount. The Bucs defense is good, but they may struggle a bit with Newton, so expect a high scoring shoot out. The Bucs have better guns.

DR. FOOTBALL: BUCCANEERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: BUCCANEERS TO WIN AND COVER.

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Jared Allen

Denver Broncos (6-5) at Minnesota Vikings (2-9)
Line: Vikings by 1

Minnesota will be without RB Adrian Peterson again this week, and this will hurt them. Denver’s defense has given the Broncos their wins, not their offense. Lost in all the Tebow talk, the Broncos on defense have allowed 13, 13 and 10 points over the last three games. That will be the difference this week as the score will remain low, and the Broncos will prevail.

DR. FOOTBALL: BRONCOS TO WIN

THE COACH: BRONCOS TO WIN.

Indianapolis Colts (0-11) at New England Patriots (8-3)
Line: Patriots by 20

Good grief. This used to be the NFL’s game of the year.  Now, the only thing you wonder about is how much the Patriots will win by.

DR. FOOTBALL: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PATRIOTS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER.

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Peyton Hillis

Baltimore Ravens (8-3) at Cleveland Browns (4-7)
Line: Ravens by 6.5

Baltimore is coming off a mini bye week having last played on US Thanksgiving. I can’t see the Browns giving the well- rested Ravens any kind of a fight. (Coach sez: First of all, the Ravens tend to play down to their competition. Secondly, the Browns played very well in Cincinnati last week. No. 3, if Colt McCoy and company are smart enough to give the ball to big Peyton Hillis they can win this game. Whether or not they’ll do that, remains to be seen, however).

DR. FOOTBALL: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: RAVENS TO WIN AND COVER.

St. Louis Rams (2-9) at San Francisco 49ers (9-2)
Line: 49ers by 13

The 49ers should be fired up after their loss last week. They have the league’s best run defense; the Rams have the worst. The Niners also have the league’s top scoring defense, and the Rams are No. 31 in scoring offense. They shouldn’t have any trouble with the awful Rams. This could be a shutout.

DR. FOOTBALL: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: 49ers TO WIN AND COVER.

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DeMarco Murray runs for Cowboys TD.

Dallas Cowboys (7-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7)
Line: Cowboys by 4.5

Arizona doesn’t have the talent on defense to stop a well rested Cowboys squad, especially with WR Miles Austin back on the roster. Tony Romo has plenty of options and he will utilize them successfully.

DR. FOOTBALL: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: COWBOYS TO WIN AND COVER.

aj hawk Whats Next in Jacksonville? Burn Down the Stadium?

A.J. Hawk

Green Bay Packers (11-0) at New York Giants (6-5)
Line: Packers by 7

The Green Bay Packers have won 17 consecutive games, and if they get through the 2011 NFL regular season without losing, they’ll have the record for the longest winning streak, beating out the 2003-04 New England Patriots’ mark of 21. The Giants were lit up by the Saints Drew Brees for four TDs last week. Now they face Aaron Rodgers, who burned them for four TDs last season. Their pass rush struggled to get to Brees, and they gave him plenty of time to pick the secondary apart. Rodgers has similar weapons to cause problems for Giants linebackers and defensive backs.

DR. FOOTBALL: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: PACKERS TO WIN AND COVER.

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Darren Sproles of the Saints

Detroit Lions (7-4) at New Orleans Saints (8-3)
Line: Saints by 9

The Detroit Stomper Ndamukong Suh will be out for this one, and that will make life a lot easier for Drew Brees and company. Brees torched the Giants for 4 TDs last week, and with the weakened Lions defense, look for similar results.

DR. FOOTBALL: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

THE COACH: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER.

San Diego Chargers (4-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8)
Line: Chargers by 2.5.

Coach fired, team sold, what’s next; burn the building. San Diego is a mess, but nothing like Jacksonville. Why is this game on MNF?

DR. FOOTBALL: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.

THE COACH: CHARGERS TO WIN AND COVER.