Tag Archives: week 12 nfl picks

We Love the Falcons, Steelers, Jets, Bengals and Raiders.

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Aaron Rodgers

Week 12 in the NFL opened on Thursday, U.S. Thanksgiving, and while I thought we might see three good football games, we saw one.

The Dallas-Miami clash came right down to the final moments and that was worth watching, but I’m afraid the other two? Well, in the end, they were indeed turkeys, mere wasted effort on a holiday Thursday.

Green Bay demolished Detroit 27-15 as Packers QB Aaron Rodgers threw for 307 yards and two touchdowns as Green Bay  improved to 11-0 and have now won 17 straight games dating back to last season. Detroit’s Ndamukong Suh was once again vilified by idiot TV announcers — that’s clowns get dumber and more annoying every day — and it brought this response from one of our most loyal readers, the enlightened Fort Rouge Ted:

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Ndamukong Suh: Old time NFL Football.

“Scotty, I was talking with Pops after the games on Thursday and do you realize that not long ago, in a far-off distant land known as the United States of America, when the NFL was a real man’s league, Suh would have been made out to be an effing god. He would be on the same pedestal with Mean Joe Greene, Ray Nitschke, Dick Butkus, Teddy The Stork Hendricks, Lyle Alzado, Deacon Jones, Mad Jack Lambert and Jack The Assassin Tatum. Suh would be a superstar among the defensive warriors of the real NFL. He would be cheered as much by his hometown fans as they would have hated the opposition, all while he was decapitating quarterbacks. 

“And not just Suh. What about that disgraceful roughing the passer call against Kyle Vandenbosch on Aaron Rodgers. That was embarrassingly bad. I was glad that Troy Aikman (the best in the business, by the way) said something. If that’s what my NFL has become, I don’t how much longer my passion will last.

“Then along came the liberal intellectuals, all the effing Harvard lawyers and Yale doctors, and they have changed the game to the point that it’s now made for gutless girly-men wearing skirts and playing to the cameras. Meanwhile, the TV and talk-show  announcers and all the would-be intellectuals, people who have never watched NFL films from the 60s and 70s, make Suh out to be a villain to be ridiculed by the politically correct in this baby-doll league we once called the NFL. No sir, I don’t like it. I want my old NFL back.”

As an Eastern university graduate and proud liberal, it’s sometimes hard to read my friends’ criticisms of other Eastern university graduates, liberal or not (by the way he acts around people, I would guess NFL commissioner Roger Goodell is a conservative Republican), but in his own blue-collar way, Teddy might be right. Between all the announcers passing judgment and all the officials throwing more flags than I ever remember, the game is getting dull, dull, dull.

With Sunday Ticket, you can bounce back and forth among a number of games, but when you’re stuck watching one game at a time as we were on Thursday, that game can get mind-numbingly uninteresting. Too many commercials, too many ridiculously dumb statements by the colour commentators (the play-by-play guys are generally solid) and way too many flags are making today’s NFL the dullest reality show on TV.

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Tony Romo

Meanwhile, back on Thursday, Tony Romo threw two touchdown passes and Dan Bailey kicked a 28-yard game-winning field goal as time expired to lead Dallas past Miami 20-19 in a decent, but not great, football game. It was actually encouraging to see Romo play the final few minutes with a little poise.

And in the Har-Bowl: Ravens coach John Harbaugh beat his brother, Niners coach Jim Harbaugh, 16-6. Niners quarterback Alex Smith was sacked nine times while Joe Flacco threw one touchdown pass as the Ravens improved to 8-3 and the Niners fell to 9-2. That game, I’m afraid, was dishwater dull.

But now it’s the weekend and that means that on Sunday afternoon, I can watch five games at once and not be bored to tears by another one of those GEICO commercials I’ve already seen 300 times. This weekend, the big games include Buffalo at the New York Jets; Chicago at Oakland; New England at Philadelphia; Denver at San Diego; and the NY Giants at New Orleans on Monday night.

By the way, on Thursday, Doc Football went 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread while The Coach went 2-1 straight up and 1-2 against the spread. The Coach really did think San Francisco was for real and that Baltimore would not be as good without Ray Lewis. Sadly, for The Coach, Baltimore might be better without Ray Lewis.

As always, Doc Football writes the game-by-game justifications and The Coach reserves the right to get snarky.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

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Sam Bradford

Arizona Cardinals (3-7) at St. Louis Rams (2-8)
Line: Rams by 3

St. Louis QB Sam Bradford should have a good day at home as his strong arm is going to be utilized all game long against a weak Cardinals secondary. Rams should have beaten the Cardinals the last time they met, and they also should learn from their mistakes from the previous matchup. Arizona has one player, Larry Fitzgerald, and if the Rams shut him down, they’ll shut down the Cardinals. It doesn’t hurt to be at home, either.

Dr. Football: RAMS TO WIN AND COVER. 

The Coach: RAMS TO WIN AND COVER.

Buffalo Bills (5-5) at New York Jets (5-5)
Line: Jets by 9

The Jets are desperate need of a win after being “Tebowed” last week, and should get one against a tattered Buffalo team it easily handled just three weeks ago. Offensively, Buffalo has completely broken down the last five weeks and to complicate things even more for them, RB Fred Jackson will be out for this game due to a leg injury.

Dr. Football: JETS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER

The Coach: JETS TO WIN AND COVER

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Joshua Cribbs of the Browns

Cleveland Browns (4-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) 

Line: Bengals by 7.5

Both teams have been involved in a lot of close games this year. The difference is the Bengals have been better at winning them. The Bengals offense is the edge in this one, especially with WR A.J. Green back on Sunday. They will keep the ball moving downfield, and keep control of the clock as the Browns defense does not have the talent to match the Bengals offense.

Dr. Football: BENGALS TO WIN BUT NOT COVER 

The Coach: BENGALS TO WIN AND COVER

Houston Texans (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)
Line: Texans by 3.5

Matt Schaub’s absence won’t be felt this week thanks to Texans’ shutdown defense and Jaguars’ woeful offense. Arian Foster is good enough to keep the pressure off of the other Matt (Leinart) this week, and the Texans will pick up an important win.

Dr. Football: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: TEXANS TO WIN AND COVER

Carolina Panthers (2-8) at Indianapolis Colts (0-10)
Line: Panthers by 3.5

If the Colts are going to win at all this season, this figures to be their best chance. After all they can’t go 0-16, can they? (Coach sez: Sure they can).

Dr. Football: COLTS TO WIN

The Coach: PANTHERS TO WIN AND COVER

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Chris Johnson

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) at Tennessee Titans (5-5)
Line: Titans by 3

Bucs showed some heart in last week’s loss, and the mediocre Titans represent a step down in competition to what they’ve been facing lately. This week, they face a much better defense in Tennessee and won’t get the last minute opportunity for a comeback. Offensively, the Titans are a solid team no matter who is playing quarterback.

Dr. Football: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: TITANS TO WIN AND COVER

Minnesota Vikings (2-8) at Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
Line: Falcons by 9

Vikings are 3-13 in their last 16 road games and won’t have Adrian Peterson, while Matt Ryan shouldn’t have problems shredding depleted Minnesota secondary. Ryan should have a field day against a terrible Vikings defense, and struggling rookie Christian Ponder won’t be able to keep up without his best weapon.

Dr. Football: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: FALCONS TO WIN AND COVER

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The Caleb Hanie Era Starts Sunday

Chicago Bears (7-3) at Oakland Raiders (6-4)
Line: Raiders by 4.5

Caleb Hanie will get some help from Chicago’s defense and special teams, but the Bears won’t quite be able to overcome the loss of Jay Cutler who is out for 6-8 weeks with a broken thumb. Hanie has nowhere near the arm as Cutler and this is going to force the Bears to run the ball. This option isn’t bad for the Bears as they have one of the best running backs in the league this year with Matt Forte, and Oakland struggles a bit against the run. However, the Raiders do not struggle when it comes to getting pressure on the quarterback, and this will spell doom for the Bears. There probably isn’t a worse place for the Caleb Hanie Era to begin than in Oakland.

Dr. Football: RAIDERS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: RAIDERS TO WIN AND COVER

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Seattle's Marshawn Lynch

Washington Redskins (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (4-6)
Line: Seahawks by 3.5

Seahawks have very quietly been playing pretty good football over the last couple of weeks, while Redskins have been playing pretty poor football considerably longer. Seattle’s defense is improving each week and this week they face Redskins QB Rex Grossman who is, for lack of a better word, a bum. Seattle’s offense will utilize RB Marshawn Lynch a lot this week and will be successful.

Dr. Football: SEAHAWKS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: SEAHAWKS TO WIN AND COVER

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Tom Brady

New England Patriots (7-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)
Line: Patriots by 3

Last week’s win didn’t cure all the Eagles’ problems, and the incredibly efficient Patriots should be able to take advantage of their opponent’s sore spots.Especially the big holes on defense. Bill Belichick will find a way to confuse Vince Young and force a couple of turnovers, and that should be enough for the Pats. Frankly, in a battle between Eli Manning and Vince Young (last week), I might take Young, but in a battle between Tom Brady and Vince Young, I’ll take Brady any day.

Dr. Football: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: PATRIOTS TO WIN AND COVER

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Tim Tebow

Denver Broncos (5-5) at San Diego Chargers (4-6)
Line: Chargers by 6

Denver’s defense is improving each week while San Diego’s is in decline. Tim Tebow is an unexplainable 4-1, and despite his lack of throwing ability, the Broncos keep winning. This week, Tebow will need to quickly get points on the board to be successful. Denver’s defense will pressure Chargers QB Philip Rivers into limited third down conversions, and probably a turnover or two. The Tebow experiment works for yet another week. (Coach sez: The Broncos keep winning because the team has faith in its quarterback. The entire team is playing better because the players believe Tebow will win it in the end. The guy is a winner, period).

Dr. Football: BRONCOS TO WIN

The Coach: BRONCOS TO WIN

SUNDAY NIGHT

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6)
Line: Steelers by 10.5

Injury-riddled Chiefs couldn’t score on New England’s questionable defense on Monday, and will run into similar problems against the well-rested Steelers. The Steelers are more talented in every category, and this game will be over by half time.

Dr. Football: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: STEELERS TO WIN AND COVER

MONDAY NIGHT

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Darren Sproles

New York Giants (6-4) at New Orleans Saints (7-3)
Line: Saints by 7

Eli Manning returns to his hometown in the Monday nighter, to the stadium where his father, Archie, enjoyed some of his best NFL years. But with all due respect to Peyton’s little brother, the city of New Orleans currently belongs to fellow Super Bowl  winning quarterback Drew Brees. The Saints are rested and incredibly explosive on their home turf, putting a Giants team that hasn’t put putting up a whole lot of points as of late in a very tough spot.

Dr. Football: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

The Coach: SAINTS TO WIN AND COVER

Week 12 NFL Picks. Indy and New Orleans Try to Go To 11-0.

As we enter Week 12, the obvious focus is on the unbeaten Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints. Throw in the 9-1 Minnesota Vikings and you have the three best teams in the NFL today.

However, there is still nothing at wrong with the New England Patriots, the Dallas Cowboys or the San Diego.

In fact, the Chargers are writing one of the most intriguing stories this season.  Back during the bye-weeks, the Chargers found themselves 3 ½ games out of first in the AFC West. In fact, that was just 34 days ago after a Week 6 loss at home to Denver. However, with that impressive 32-3 win over the struggling Broncos last Sunday, the Chargers have now won five straight and moved into first place in the division, one full game ahead of the Broncos.

Meanwhile, the Tennessee Titans have also made an incredible turnaround this season and it would not be crazy to suggest that with Arizona (at home), Indy (on the road), St. Louis (at home), Miami (at home), San Diego (at home) and Seattle (on the road) left on the schedule, the Titans could finish 9-7 and sneak into the playoffs.

In fact, from the moment owner Bud Adams told head coach Jeff Fisher to start Vince Young or else, the Titans have gone 4-0 to get back to 4-6 and give themselves a legitimate shot at a Wild Card.

That’s why this week’s game against the Cards at LP Field in Nashville is so important. It is one of the biggest games of Week 12.

Let’s take a closer look:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON

Green Bay Packers 6-4 at Detroit Lions 2-8 (+10.5)

The Packers are on a roll. They completely shut down a hot Cowboys team and then followed that up with a blowout victory over San Francisco. They’ll ride their momentum into this game, where they shouldn’t have any problems against a Stafford-less Lions squad.

Dr. Sports: Packers to win and cover.

The Coach: Packers to win and cover.

Oakland Raiders 3-7 at Dallas Cowboys 7-3 (+13.5)

Tony Romo’s three Thanksgiving games: 34-9 over Seattle, 34-3 over the Jets, and 38-10 over Tampa Bay. Romo spends too much time golfing and dating celebrities, so winning in the national spotlight on Thanksgiving plays right into his agenda. Romo may choke in the clutch, but he shines in these easy Turkey Day battles.

Dr. Sports: Cowboys to win and cover.

The Coach: Cowboys to win but not cover.

THURSDAY NIGHT

New York Giants 6-4 at Denver Broncos 6-4 (+6.5)

The Giants really needed that victory over the Falcons last week. You could see that Manning and Tom Coughlin were relieved in their post-game news conferences. With confidence now on their side, New York goes into Denver and wins by double digits. You don’t want any part of the tanking Broncos right now.

Dr. Sports: Giants to win and cover.

The Coach: Giants to win and cover.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5)

Dr. Sports doesn’t think the Eagles will be focused here. They already beat Washington, so with a two-game road trip against the Falcons and Giants coming up, the Doc figures the Iggles might take this game lightly.

Dr. Sports: Eagles to win but not cover.

The Coach: Eagles to win and cover.

Seattle Seahawks 3-7 at St. Louis Rams 1-9 (+3)

The Seahawks stink this year, but they were awful last year and still swept the Rams. In fact, Seattle has taken the past nine from St. Louis.

Dr. Sports: Seahawks to win and cover.

The Coach: Rams to win.

Carolina Panthers 4-6 at New York Jets 4-6 (-3)

Mark Sanchez should be tested to see if he’s colorblind. He had wide-open receivers downfield last week, but fired the ball to Patriots corners instead. After starting 3-0, New York’s season is over. The victory they had over the Patriots in Week 2 has obviously been exposed as a fraud. The Panthers have more to play for because they have to leapfrog fewer teams to qualify for the playoffs (three, compared to New York’s five).

Dr. Sports: Panthers to win.

The Coach: Panthers to win.

Miami Dolphins 5-5 at Buffalo Bills 3-7 (+3)

As long as Sparano sticks with Williams, Miami should easily defeat a Buffalo squad that currently has major offensive line issues. You win games in the trenches in the NFL, and that’s a very weak area for the Bills right now. Mike Shanahan can’t get to Buffalo soon enough.

Dr. Sports: Dolphins to win and cover.

The Coach: Dolphins to win and cover.

Cleveland Browns 1-9 at Cincinnati Bengals 7-3 (-14)

Unlike last week, Brady Quinn won’t have a solid ground attack by his side. The Bengals haven’t allowed 100 rushing yards to any team since Oct. 4.However, the Bengals are seldom successful covering a high line. Since 2007, they are 1-7 against the spread when favoured by 3.5 or more.

Dr. Sports: Bengals to win but not cover.

The Coach: Bengals to win and cover.

Indianapolis Colts 10-0 at Houston Texans 5-5 (+3.5)

This is Houston’s Super Bowl. If they lose this game, they fall to 5-6, and their season is probably over. They’ll play the Colts tough, but they won’t win.

Dr. Sports: Colts to win and cover.

The Coach: Colts to win and cover.

Kansas City Chiefs 3-7 at San Diego Chargers 7-3 (-13.5)

After three really tough wins, the Chargers get the crappy Chiefs. Sure, KC looked good last week against the Steelers, but lightning won’t strike twice.

Dr. Sports: Chargers to win and cover.

The Coach: Chargers to win but not cover.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1-9 at Atlanta Falcons 5-5 (-12)

Atlanta could come out flat after that loss to the Giants, and with two tough battles against the Eagles and Saints after this, they might be looking ahead. However, the Falcons need to win this game, and how can anyone back the Buccaneers with any confidence, given that the turnover happy Josh Freeman will be playing on the road for the second time in his pro career.

Dr. Sports: Falcons to win and cover.

The Coach: Falcons to win and cover.

Jacksonville Jaguars 6-4 at San Francisco 49ers 4-6 (-2.5)

The 49ers were just blown out, while the Jaguars sit at 6-4. This is a strange game for the Jaguars. Traveling across the country to battle a non-conference opponent, and given that they have Houston, Miami and Indianapolis after this contest, Dr. Sports thinks this is a breather.

Dr. Sports: Jaguars to win.

The Coach: 49ers to win and cover.

Chicago Bears 4-6 at Minnesota Vikings 9-1 (-10.5)

These teams hate each other so much, Minneapolis has to hide the bears in the state zoo so the Vikings fans don’t throw stuff on them. The home team has won 11 of the last 13 meetings and Brett, with all those receivers who are young enough to be his sons, are on fire.

Dr. Sports: Vikings to win and cover.

The Coach: Vikings to win and cover.

Arizona Cardinals 7-3 at Tennessee Titans 4-6 (-2)

This game means very little to the Cardinals, who host the Vikings next week. The Titans are playing with fire and they will continue their winning ways at home.

Dr. Sports: Titans to win and cover.

The Coach: Titans to win and cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers 6-4 at Baltimore Ravens 5-5 (-2.5)

The home team has won 12 of the last 14 meetings and the Steelers have won the last 3. With the “Who’ll play QB mystery,” the Steelers are facing, it’s hard to get excited about the defending Super Bowl champs right now.

Dr. Sports: Ravens to win and cover.

The Coach: Ravens to win and cover.

THE MONDAY NIGHTER

New England Patriots 7-3 at New Orleans Saints 10-0 (-3)

Huge statement game for the Patriots. They aren’t going to catch the Colts, but the Saints bubble has to break sometime, and the Patriots had the chance earlier this season to take down an unbeaten team and it’s hard to imagine they’ll blow the chance a second time.

Dr. Sports: The Patriots to win.

The Coach: The Patriots to win.

The Doc is 105-55 on the season, and 86-74 against the spread. The Coach is 99-61 straight up and 81-79 against the spread.